TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108541
Played Sep 10Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Michal Guzik
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911811711––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 3–3 Michal Guzik Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1426 vs Guzik 1588
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 20% vs Guzik 40%
Guzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Guzik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -4 · Guzik +1
Michalik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Guzik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 3.25 / Guzik 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Guzik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13108541
Michalik3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 117 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 108
Guzik1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 117 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it89% 86 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMichalik3wins
AwayGuzik3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik40%2 of 5
AwayGuzikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik5Guzik1n = 6Michalik took 5 of 6
S2Michalik4Guzik2n = 6Michalik took 4 of 6
S3Michalik1Guzik5n = 6Guzik took 5 of 6
S4Michalik1Guzik5n = 6Guzik took 5 of 6
S5Michalik2Guzik1n = 3Michalik took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMichalikGuzikM − GBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.244.5−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1144 vs 126 / 17247.1%73.3%539 / 1144 vs 126 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikMichalik 3.25/Guzik 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.2%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 01:00J. Michalik—51111113M. Guzik—116581
LSep 3 · 18:55J. Michalik—1111613102M. Guzik—891115123
WAug 4 · 24:45J. Michalik—111148113M. Guzik—99111172
LJul 30 · 22:55J. Michalik—129631M. Guzik—101111113
LJul 30 · 16:55J. Michalik—1112641M. Guzik—51411113
WJul 28 · 01:30J. Michalik—131358113M. Guzik—1111111172
J. Michalik10
LSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.6081111582H. Tkaczyk1.41118811113LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113LSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113WSep 8 · 19:55J. Michalik1.17713711113A. Barton4.05111111882WSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750
M. Guzik10
WSep 10 · 19:30M. Guzik1.15411611113M. Machelski4.3511211762LSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360LSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391WSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143WSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762LSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
Sep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.85D. Molenda1.19—Sep 10 · 23:05J. Michalik1.50M. Machelski2.40—Sep 11 · 24:20J. Michalik2.43M. Guzik1.43—Sep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik2.10J. Zelezik1.60—Sep 11 · 02:45J. Michalik1.47M. Machelski2.39—Sep 11 · 03:30J. Michalik1.17W. Stechly4.10—Sep 11 · 04:20J. Michalik2.50H. Tkaczyk1.43—
M. Guzik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.