TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102746
Played Sep 10Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
17157118111214––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:07 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
17157118111214––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 2–16 Jacek Zelezik Jerzy Michalik has won 2 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-16 in 18
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 14 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1448 vs Zelezik 1420
Michalik
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Zelezik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 70% vs Zelezik 50%
Michalik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -2 · Zelezik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.10 / Zelezik 1.60
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Zelezik)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13102746
Michalik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 117 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 108
Zelezik1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 180 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 139 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik1wins
AwayZelezik9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik25%1 of 4
AwayZelezik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S3Michalik1Zelezik9n = 10Zelezik took 9 of 10
S4Michalik0Zelezik5n = 5Zelezik took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikZelezikM − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match27.738.7−11.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1145 vs 365 / 67747.1%53.9%539 / 1145 vs 365 / 677Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikMichalik 2.10/Zelezik 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 24:45J. Michalik—11122432J. Zelezik—5101111113
LAug 4 · 02:00J. Michalik—117991J. Zelezik—81111113
LJul 31 · 02:35J. Michalik—3770J. Zelezik—1111113
WJul 30 · 18:10J. Michalik—114115123J. Zelezik—811511102
LJul 7 · 23:30J. Michalik—8520J. Zelezik—1111113
LJul 3 · 02:45J. Michalik—1111981J. Zelezik—13911113
LJul 2 · 23:05J. Michalik—96100J. Zelezik—1111123
LMay 22 · 21:35J. Michalik—128481J. Zelezik—101111113
LMay 22 · 15:35J. Michalik—6860J. Zelezik—1111113
LMay 18 · 03:10J. Michalik—8370J. Zelezik—1111113
J. Michalik10
LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113LSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113WSep 8 · 19:55J. Michalik1.17713711113A. Barton4.05111111882WSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750WSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081
J. Zelezik10
WSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
Sep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.60H. Tkaczyk1.41—Sep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.25M. Guzik1.30—Sep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.85D. Molenda1.19—Sep 10 · 23:05J. Michalik1.50M. Machelski2.40—Sep 11 · 24:20J. Michalik2.43M. Guzik1.43—Sep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik2.10J. Zelezik1.60—Sep 11 · 02:45J. Michalik1.47M. Machelski2.39—Sep 11 · 03:30J. Michalik1.17W. Stechly4.10—Sep 11 · 04:20J. Michalik—H. Tkaczyk——
J. Zelezik2 of 9 neutral
Sep 10 · 19:10J. Zelezik3.15D. Molenda1.28—Sep 10 · 19:55J. Zelezik2.19H. Tkaczyk1.55—Sep 10 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.33M. Machelski2.85—Sep 10 · 22:40J. Zelezik2.65M. Guzik1.38—Sep 10 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.13W. Stechly4.70—Sep 11 · 01:10J. Zelezik1.60J. Michalik2.10—Sep 11 · 01:55J. Zelezik2.19H. Tkaczyk1.56—Sep 11 · 03:55J. Zelezik—M. Machelski——Sep 11 · 04:40J. Zelezik—M. Guzik——
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