TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109469
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Guzik
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
711811911––––
H2H Michal Guzik 3–3 Jacek Zelezik Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Guzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzik 1584 vs Zelezik 1395
Guzik
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzik 40% vs Zelezik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzik 60% vs Zelezik 40%
Guzik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzik -1 · Zelezik -3
Zelezik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Guzik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (40%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzik 1.38 / Zelezik 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Guzik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109469
Guzik1.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 117 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it89% 86 of 97
Zelezik2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 91 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGuzik3wins
AwayZelezik3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzik66.7%2 of 3
AwayZelezik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzik3Zelezik3n = 6split evenly
S2Guzik5Zelezik1n = 6Guzik took 5 of 6
S3Guzik2Zelezik4n = 6Zelezik took 4 of 6
S4Guzik1Zelezik4n = 5Zelezik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGuzikZelezikG − ZBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.836.5+3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 174 vs 366 / 68173%53.7%127 / 174 vs 366 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikGuzik 1.38/Zelezik 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.6%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 7 · 01:00M. Guzik—1171391J. Zelezik—81115113
LSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik—12115111J. Zelezik—14611133
WAug 3 · 22:00M. Guzik—1111113J. Zelezik—9780
WAug 3 · 18:00M. Guzik—111110113J. Zelezik—561271
WJul 30 · 23:45M. Guzik—611117113J. Zelezik—11121132
LJul 30 · 15:50M. Guzik—7135131J. Zelezik—111111153
M. Guzik10
LSep 10 · 21:05H. Tkaczyk1.90131169113M. Guzik1.80115111182WSep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.259870M. Guzik1.301111113WSep 10 · 19:30M. Guzik1.15411611113M. Machelski4.3511211762LSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360LSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391WSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143WSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762
J. Zelezik10
LSep 10 · 21:55M. Machelski2.501112113J. Zelezik1.4781070LSep 10 · 19:55H. Tkaczyk1.5510111111113J. Zelezik2.1912137552LSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143WSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391
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