TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108303
Played Sep 10Finished
Dariusz Molenda
Home
1.28
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711115119––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
3.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
116711115119––
H2H Dariusz Molenda 12–2 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Molenda
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molenda 1627 vs Zelezik 1427
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molenda 60% vs Zelezik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molenda 80% vs Zelezik 50%
Molenda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molenda +1 · Zelezik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolenda 1.28 / Zelezik 3.15
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Molenda)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13108303
Molenda1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 122 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it98% 82 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it92% 106 of 115
Zelezik3.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 91 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolenda8wins
AwayZelezik2wins
Molenda leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolenda100%8 of 8
AwayZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molenda8Zelezik2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S2Molenda5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S3Molenda8Zelezik2n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S4Molenda3Zelezik0n = 3Molenda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolendaZelezikM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.626.2+8.4per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolendaZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 272 vs 366 / 67979%53.9%215 / 272 vs 366 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaMolenda 1.28/Zelezik 3.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.6%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda—11711113J. Zelezik—611591
LSep 3 · 22:20D. Molenda—116110J. Zelezik—1311133
WAug 25 · 22:20D. Molenda—1111113J. Zelezik—1560
WJul 16 · 22:20D. Molenda—1211113J. Zelezik—10680
LJul 7 · 19:10D. Molenda—8890J. Zelezik—1111113
WJul 2 · 21:30D. Molenda—11811113J. Zelezik—911371
WMay 14 · 21:30D. Molenda—1111113J. Zelezik—7480
WApr 9 · 22:20D. Molenda—1111183J. Zelezik—46160
WMar 26 · 19:20D. Molenda—11611113J. Zelezik—211891
WMar 5 · 20:10D. Molenda—1111113J. Zelezik—6950
D. Molenda10
WSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730
J. Zelezik10
WSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143WSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113WSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110
Upcoming Matches
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J. Zelezik
Sep 10 · 19:55J. Zelezik2.19H. Tkaczyk1.55—Sep 10 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.33M. Machelski2.85—Sep 10 · 22:40J. Zelezik2.65M. Guzik1.38—Sep 10 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.13W. Stechly4.70—Sep 11 · 01:10J. Zelezik1.60J. Michalik2.10—Sep 11 · 01:55J. Zelezik2.19H. Tkaczyk1.56—Sep 11 · 03:55J. Zelezik1.33M. Machelski2.85—Sep 11 · 04:40J. Zelezik2.65M. Guzik1.38—
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