TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108544
Played Sep 10Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121113117115115
Jacek Zelezik
Away
2.19
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
10121113117115115
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 23–14 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1549 vs Zelezik 1421
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 20% vs Zelezik 40%
Zelezik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 60% vs Zelezik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +1 · Zelezik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.55 / Zelezik 2.19
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13108544
Tkaczyk1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 399 of 577
Up 2–0, closes it94% 226 of 241
Up 1–0, closes it85% 311 of 365
Zelezik2.19
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 91 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk8wins
AwayZelezik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk100%6 of 6
AwayZelezik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk6Zelezik4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk7Zelezik3n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S3Tkaczyk7Zelezik3n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Tkaczyk4Zelezik3n = 7Tkaczyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykZelezikT − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.4+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime1004 / 1507 vs 366 / 67966.6%53.9%1004 / 1507 vs 366 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.55/Zelezik 2.19
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 22:35H. Tkaczyk—7111111113J. Zelezik—11621352
WAug 26 · 15:00H. Tkaczyk—1181211123J. Zelezik—711147102
WAug 17 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk—1111113J. Zelezik—5630
WAug 17 · 15:10H. Tkaczyk—91214113J. Zelezik—11101291
LAug 3 · 22:50H. Tkaczyk—361151J. Zelezik—11115113
LAug 3 · 15:10H. Tkaczyk—1014551J. Zelezik—121211113
WJul 26 · 21:20H. Tkaczyk—1111113J. Zelezik—6640
WJul 26 · 15:25H. Tkaczyk—11119113J. Zelezik—471191
WJul 22 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk—1111113J. Zelezik—6480
WJul 22 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk—121011143J. Zelezik—10129121
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.6081111582H. Tkaczyk1.41118811113LSep 10 · 17:55H. Tkaczyk1.2311118962M. Machelski3.50671111113LSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113LSep 9 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.29461131M. Brunner3.1011118113LSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113WSep 9 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.221111113M. Machelski3.558640WSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113WSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183WSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181
J. Zelezik10
LSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143WSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113
Upcoming Matches
H. Tkaczyk
Sep 10 · 21:05H. Tkaczyk1.98M. Guzik1.73—Sep 10 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.55D. Molenda1.41—Sep 10 · 23:55H. Tkaczyk1.23M. Machelski3.50—Sep 11 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.07W. Stechly6.00—Sep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk1.56J. Zelezik2.19—Sep 11 · 03:05H. Tkaczyk2.20M. Guzik1.55—Sep 11 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk1.43J. Michalik2.50—
J. Zelezik
Sep 10 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.33M. Machelski2.85—Sep 10 · 22:40J. Zelezik2.65M. Guzik1.38—Sep 10 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.13W. Stechly4.70—Sep 11 · 01:10J. Zelezik1.60J. Michalik2.10—Sep 11 · 01:55J. Zelezik2.19H. Tkaczyk1.56—Sep 11 · 03:55J. Zelezik1.33M. Machelski2.85—Sep 11 · 04:40J. Zelezik2.65M. Guzik1.38—
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