TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109476
Played Sep 10Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13151214611––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
13151214611––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 0–17 Dariusz Molenda Jerzy Michalik has won 0 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-17 in 17
Molenda
Correct
gap of 17 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1417 vs Molenda 1638
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 0% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 40% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -5 · Molenda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 3.50 / Molenda 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Molenda)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13109476
Michalik3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 117 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 108
Molenda1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 122 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it98% 82 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it92% 106 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik0wins
AwayMolenda10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMolenda leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMolenda100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Molenda8n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S2Michalik2Molenda8n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S3Michalik4Molenda6n = 10Molenda took 6 of 10
S4Michalik0Molenda7n = 7Molenda took 7 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikMolendaMichalik − MolendaBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.7−8.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1145 vs 216 / 27347.1%79.1%539 / 1145 vs 216 / 273Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaMichalik 3.50/Molenda 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 22:20J. Michalik—4770D. Molenda—1111113
LAug 6 · 19:10J. Michalik—9711101D. Molenda—11114123
LJul 23 · 19:10J. Michalik—711881D. Molenda—11811113
LJul 9 · 20:45J. Michalik—11118742D. Molenda—861111113
LJul 2 · 20:45J. Michalik—1071171D. Molenda—12113113
LJun 25 · 18:20J. Michalik—81470D. Molenda—1116113
LJun 18 · 19:10J. Michalik—117941D. Molenda—81111113
LJun 11 · 19:10J. Michalik—7121181D. Molenda—11148113
LJun 4 · 19:10J. Michalik—181341D. Molenda—111111113
LApr 30 · 22:20J. Michalik—89100D. Molenda—1111123
J. Michalik10
LSep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.259870M. Guzik1.301111113LSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.6081111582H. Tkaczyk1.41118811113LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113LSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113WSep 8 · 19:55J. Michalik1.17713711113A. Barton4.05111111882WSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113
D. Molenda10
WSep 10 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.205840D. Molenda1.571111113WSep 10 · 20:45D. Molenda1.1011811113M. Machelski5.20511261WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591WSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113
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