TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129007
Played Sep 14Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119113411116––
Jakub Cyndera
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
119113411116––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 3–9 Jakub Cyndera Jerzy Michalik has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Cyndera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Cyndera
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1426 vs Cyndera 1395
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 40% vs Cyndera 20%
Michalik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 40% vs Cyndera 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +2 · Cyndera +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.90 / Cyndera 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cyndera)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13129007
Michalik1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 108 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back18% 33 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Cyndera1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 129 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it100% 74 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it91% 100 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik2wins
AwayCyndera8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCyndera leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik33.3%2 of 6
AwayCyndera100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Cyndera4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik1Cyndera9n = 10Cyndera took 9 of 10
S3Michalik3Cyndera7n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S4Michalik3Cyndera5n = 8Cyndera took 5 of 8
S5Michalik1Cyndera2n = 3Cyndera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikCynderaM − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.242.1−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikCynderaBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1153 vs 322 / 58147.1%55.4%543 / 1153 vs 322 / 581Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaMichalik 1.90/Cyndera 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 26 · 03:05J. Michalik35117981J. Cyndera4291111113
LJun 25 · 21:05J. Michalik381071291J. Cyndera44121110113
LJun 15 · 22:25J. Michalik219750J. Cyndera331111113
LApr 27 · 22:25J. Michalik3841311101J. Cyndera47111113123
WApr 20 · 23:10J. Michalik3811511113J. Cyndera37911981
WApr 14 · 24:45J. Michalik51129118113J. Cyndera48101191172
LApr 7 · 24:45J. Michalik42114101252J. Cyndera539111210113
LJan 10 · 02:35J. Michalik26113751J. Cyndera4071111113
LJan 9 · 20:35J. Michalik217950J. Cyndera331111113
LDec 30 · 24:10J. Michalik4211971142J. Cyndera44511116113
J. Michalik10
WSep 14 · 21:10J. Michalik2.15111111113A. Zmijewski1.55661351WSep 11 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk1.438980J. Michalik2.501111113LSep 11 · 03:30W. Stechly4.0551117113J. Michalik1.181191581LSep 11 · 02:45J. Michalik1.47111181082M. Machelski2.39881112113LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 11 · 24:20M. Guzik1.76791191J. Michalik1.9611117113WSep 10 · 23:05J. Michalik1.53411119113M. Machelski2.3511661172LSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113LSep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.259870M. Guzik1.301111113LSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.6081111582H. Tkaczyk1.41118811113
J. Cyndera10
WSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102LSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.8069111142P. Gesiarz1.90111199113LSep 14 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.958117101A. Zmijewski1.7511711123LSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.5011911113A. Staniczek2.35511691LSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133LSep 11 · 24:35J. Cyndera1.9111561192Z. Nocun1.80611119113LSep 10 · 23:20J. Cyndera1.918630M. Lewczuk1.801111113WSep 10 · 22:10M. Baran1.915990J. Cyndera1.801111113
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