TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128244
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911119119411
Piotr Gesiarz
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
611911119119411
H2H Jakub Cyndera 15–11 Piotr Gesiarz Piotr Gesiarz has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cyndera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Cyndera
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1422 vs Gesiarz 1344
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 20% vs Gesiarz 80%
Gesiarz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 40% vs Gesiarz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera -2 · Gesiarz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gesiarz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.80 / Gesiarz 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13128244
Cyndera1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 129 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it100% 74 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it91% 100 of 110
Gesiarz1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera5wins
AwayGesiarz5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera66.7%4 of 6
AwayGesiarz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera6Gesiarz4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S2Cyndera6Gesiarz4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S3Cyndera6Gesiarz4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S4Cyndera4Gesiarz4n = 8split evenly
S5Cyndera2Gesiarz4n = 6Gesiarz took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaGesiarzC − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.5+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 578 vs 142 / 30455.5%46.7%321 / 578 vs 142 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.80/Gesiarz 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:50J. Cyndera4411118143P. Gesiarz419911121
LAug 13 · 19:10J. Cyndera388101191P. Gesiarz4111127113
WAug 10 · 18:45J. Cyndera331111113P. Gesiarz216870
LJul 27 · 18:45J. Cyndera4056121162P. Gesiarz481111105113
LJul 20 · 18:45J. Cyndera4471181172P. Gesiarz39112114113
WJul 13 · 16:50J. Cyndera361113123P. Gesiarz28711100
LJul 6 · 18:45J. Cyndera4211481182P. Gesiarz42211117113
WJun 29 · 18:25J. Cyndera50111187133P. Gesiarz49971111112
WJun 28 · 02:10J. Cyndera557111112143P. Gesiarz46114514122
LJun 27 · 20:05J. Cyndera48118118102P. Gesiarz50911711123
J. Cyndera10
LSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.958117101A. Zmijewski1.7511711123LSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.5011911113A. Staniczek2.35511691LSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133LSep 11 · 24:35J. Cyndera1.9111561192Z. Nocun1.80611119113LSep 10 · 23:20J. Cyndera1.918630M. Lewczuk1.801111113WSep 10 · 22:10M. Baran1.915990J. Cyndera1.801111113WSep 10 · 21:20J. Cyndera1.36811113113A. Staniczek3.0011591192LSep 10 · 19:40J. Cyndera1.831013981M. Baran1.83121111113
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 14 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.3531060A. Zmijewski1.501112113WSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350LSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113WSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik1.61117481P. Gesiarz2.0861111113LSep 12 · 23:45G. Mucha1.671111113P. Gesiarz2.109880WSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.44119612123D. Maszczynski2.639111110102LSep 12 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.501491161T. Kocik1.2816118113LSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153
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