TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128378
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012611––––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
3111012611––––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 1–0 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1358 vs Zmijewski 1449
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 80% vs Zmijewski 40%
Gesiarz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 60% vs Zmijewski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz +3 · Zmijewski -1
Gesiarz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 2.35 / Zmijewski 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Zmijewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13128378
Gesiarz2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Zmijewski1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 53 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGesiarz1wins
AwayZmijewski0wins
Gesiarz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGesiarzZmijewskiG − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.025.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 305 vs 79 / 13446.9%59%143 / 305 vs 79 / 134Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiGesiarz 2.35/Zmijewski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 20 · 21:30P. Gesiarz351211123A. Zmijewski25105100
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.8069111142P. Gesiarz1.90111199113WSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350LSep 14 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.28115991D. Maszczynski3.1581111113WSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik1.61117481P. Gesiarz2.0861111113LSep 12 · 23:45G. Mucha1.671111113P. Gesiarz2.109880WSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.44119612123D. Maszczynski2.639111110102LSep 12 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.501491161T. Kocik1.2816118113LSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 14 · 19:35A. Staniczek3.35111311123A. Zmijewski1.258158101WSep 14 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.958117101A. Zmijewski1.7511711123WSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113LSep 14 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.71913911113A. Zmijewski2.00111111772LSep 13 · 02:20A. Zmijewski1.8598150O. Jedrzejowski1.851111173WSep 13 · 24:45K. Malcher2.907930A. Zmijewski1.321111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Wolny2.5059120A. Zmijewski1.461111143WSep 12 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.83111111113A. Fomin1.86581391WSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142
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