TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119975
Played Sep 12Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151181113119––
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1151181113119––
H2H Artur Zmijewski 4–7 Andriej Fomin Artur Zmijewski has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Zmijewski beat Fomin 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1448 vs Fomin 1516
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 80% vs Fomin 60%
Zmijewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 50% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski +2 · Fomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.83 / Fomin 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13119975
Zmijewski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite67% won 54 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Fomin1.86
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back34% 26 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmijewski4wins
AwayFomin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmijewski50%2 of 4
AwayFomin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmijewski4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Zmijewski6Fomin4n = 10Zmijewski took 6 of 10
S3Zmijewski5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Zmijewski4Fomin5n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S5Zmijewski2Fomin3n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmijewskiFominZ − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.041.5+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiFominBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 126 vs 525 / 89858.7%58.5%74 / 126 vs 525 / 898Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominZmijewski 1.83/Fomin 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski53912912113A. Fomin471110111052
LSep 10 · 01:25A. Zmijewski369111151A. Fomin4011135113
LSep 9 · 19:20A. Zmijewski4791111792A. Fomin45115711113
LSep 2 · 21:20A. Zmijewski51128111192A. Fomin45141136113
WSep 2 · 15:25A. Zmijewski331111113A. Fomin228860
LAug 21 · 24:20A. Zmijewski29115671A. Fomin4291111113
WAug 20 · 20:20A. Zmijewski46141110113A. Fomin391281271
LAug 8 · 23:10A. Zmijewski4871312972A. Fomin5411111011113
WAug 8 · 17:10A. Zmijewski48711811113A. Fomin4511911952
LAug 5 · 21:18A. Zmijewski291153101A. Fomin3621111123
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66811101132A. Zmijewski2.01118127113WSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052LSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.171312123A. Zmijewski1.571110100LSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 9 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.2011761192A. Zmijewski1.61811117113LSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392
A. Fomin10
WSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163LSep 12 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.6211713123A. Fomin2.0791111101WSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572WSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052WSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123WSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113WSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.109101141A. Fomin1.6711126113
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