TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103985
Played Sep 10Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
8.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111214116411––
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.05
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Barton above · Andriej Fomin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 78 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Andriej Fomin at 91.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Barton 1–15 Andriej Fomin Aleksander Barton has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-15 in 16
Fomin
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1081 vs Fomin 1506
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 424 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 30% vs Fomin 70%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Fomin +3
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 8.50 / Fomin 1.05
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Fomin)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13103985
Barton8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 127
Fomin1.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 280 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it89% 220 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayFomin10wins
Fomin leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton0Fomin10n = 10Fomin took 10 of 10
S2Barton1Fomin9n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S3Barton3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Barton0Fomin4n = 4Fomin took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonFominB − FBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match24.837.0−12.2per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonFominBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 394 vs 520 / 89121.3%58.4%84 / 394 vs 520 / 891Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match31.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominBarton 8.50/Fomin 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.4%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 04:40A. Barton—7790A. Fomin—1111113
LSep 1 · 22:40A. Barton—681171A. Fomin—11118113
LAug 27 · 23:30A. Barton—8580A. Fomin—1111113
LAug 26 · 23:55A. Barton—6660A. Fomin—1111113
LAug 21 · 02:20A. Barton—8540A. Fomin—1111113
LJun 25 · 23:45A. Barton—911651A. Fomin—11911113
LJun 25 · 15:50A. Barton—13630A. Fomin—1511113
LJun 22 · 06:00A. Barton—5780A. Fomin—1111113
LJun 19 · 02:10A. Barton—781351A. Fomin—111111113
LJun 18 · 20:05A. Barton—7101131A. Fomin—11127113
A. Barton10
LSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113WSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113
A. Fomin10
WSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.109101141A. Fomin1.6711126113LSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162WSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792WSep 9 · 18:10A. Skupinski3.008911111A. Fomin1.3611117133LSep 9 · 16:55M. Baran2.00114118123A. Fomin1.73711611102WSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113
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