TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119110
Played Sep 12Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111181012117311
Artur Zmijewski
Away
2.01
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
8111181012117311
H2H Cezary Pawlik 4–2 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Pawlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Pawlik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1548 vs Zmijewski 1425
Pawlik
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 40% vs Zmijewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 60% vs Zmijewski 40%
Pawlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -1 · Zmijewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.66 / Zmijewski 2.01
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pawlik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13119110
Pawlik1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 126 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 99 of 122
Zmijewski2.01
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 12 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePawlik4wins
AwayZmijewski2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderPawlik leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZmijewski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik1Zmijewski5n = 6Zmijewski took 5 of 6
S2Pawlik5Zmijewski1n = 6Pawlik took 5 of 6
S3Pawlik5Zmijewski1n = 6Pawlik took 5 of 6
S4Pawlik2Zmijewski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPawlikZmijewskiP − ZBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match38.237.7+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 488 vs 71 / 12258.4%58.2%285 / 488 vs 71 / 122Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.66/Zmijewski 2.01
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 4 · 22:00C. Pawlik4451114772A. Zmijewski541191211113
WSep 4 · 18:00C. Pawlik49131114113A. Zmijewski351541241
WAug 8 · 21:35C. Pawlik4481312113A. Zmijewski3711111051
LAug 8 · 15:35C. Pawlik146350A. Zmijewski331111113
WAug 1 · 22:00C. Pawlik39211114113A. Zmijewski4411881162
WAug 1 · 18:00C. Pawlik391117113A. Zmijewski2361520
C. Pawlik10
LSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113WSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282WSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113WSep 11 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Wozniczka2.333530WSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113LSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133WSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.2511142123M. Natkaniec3.3061211101
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052LSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.171312123A. Zmijewski1.571110100LSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 9 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.2011761192A. Zmijewski1.61811117113LSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392WSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 20:05M. Baran2.205711121A. Zmijewski1.6111115143LSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792LSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
A. Zmijewski
Sep 12 · 18:45A. Zmijewski1.32K. Malcher2.90—Sep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.80O. Jedrzejowski1.90—Sep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07C. Pawlik1.62—Sep 12 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.83A. Fomin1.86—Sep 13 · 24:00A. Zmijewski1.44M. Wolny2.48—Sep 13 · 24:45A. Zmijewski1.32K. Malcher2.90—Sep 13 · 02:20A. Zmijewski1.77O. Jedrzejowski1.87—
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