TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114785
Played Sep 11Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115113––––
Marcin Wozniczka
Away
2.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Wozniczka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
113115113––––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 15–18 Marcin Wozniczka Cezary Pawlik has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Pawlik beat Wozniczka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Wozniczka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1571 vs Wozniczka 1488
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 60% vs Wozniczka 80%
Wozniczka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 50% vs Wozniczka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +1 · Wozniczka +4
Wozniczka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wozniczka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.49 / Wozniczka 2.33
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114785
Pawlik1.49
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 120 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 94 of 116
Wozniczka2.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 28 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik5wins
AwayWozniczka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik66.7%4 of 6
AwayWozniczka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik6Wozniczka4n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S2Pawlik5Wozniczka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pawlik6Wozniczka4n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik4Wozniczka4n = 8split evenly
S5Pawlik1Wozniczka3n = 4Wozniczka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikWozniczkaP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.0+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikWozniczkaBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 482 vs 199 / 34658.5%57.5%282 / 482 vs 199 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.49/Wozniczka 2.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik—791111113M. Wozniczka—11119482
WAug 21 · 23:35C. Pawlik—11713113M. Wozniczka—5111121
LAug 21 · 17:35C. Pawlik—11811582M. Wozniczka—711711113
LJul 18 · 24:25C. Pawlik—7116101M. Wozniczka—11511123
LJul 17 · 20:45C. Pawlik—11811852M. Wozniczka—811611113
WJul 4 · 02:00C. Pawlik—1111113M. Wozniczka—4450
WJul 3 · 16:25C. Pawlik—13119113M. Wozniczka—1191181
LJun 27 · 23:35C. Pawlik—811151082M. Wozniczka—1131312113
LJun 27 · 17:35C. Pawlik—91090M. Wozniczka—1112113
WJun 19 · 22:00C. Pawlik—11114113M. Wozniczka—461181
C. Pawlik10
WSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113LSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133WSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.2511142123M. Natkaniec3.3061211101LSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0478111282J. Oracz1.641111410113WSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113
M. Wozniczka10
WSep 11 · 21:10D. Pyrek2.189811101M. Wozniczka1.5611117123WSep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.4511610101M. Wozniczka1.4471112123WSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133WSep 11 · 17:35J. Oracz1.41118881M. Wozniczka2.6041111113LSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862LSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482LAug 29 · 02:20M. Wozniczka2.486940J. Oracz1.461111113LAug 29 · 24:45M. Krutak1.901111123M. Wozniczka1.8096100WAug 29 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.90911111262M. Wozniczka1.351141310113LAug 28 · 23:10M. Wozniczka1.40911111092M. Wolny2.75117312113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.