TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113303
Played Sep 11Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
2.04
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7118111141210811
Jacek Oracz
Away
1.64
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
7118111141210811
H2H Cezary Pawlik 30–30 Jacek Oracz Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:44What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-30 in 60
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1579 vs Oracz 1584
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 40% vs Oracz 60%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 60% vs Oracz 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +1 · Oracz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 2.04 / Oracz 1.64
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Oracz)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113303
Pawlik2.04
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Oracz1.64
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 297 of 418
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 241 of 276
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik6wins
AwayOracz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik85.7%6 of 7
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik7Oracz3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik4Oracz6n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S4Pawlik5Oracz4n = 9Pawlik took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikOraczP − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.1−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 476 vs 659 / 91758.4%71.9%278 / 476 vs 659 / 917Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczPawlik 2.04/Oracz 1.64
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik—7590J. Oracz—1111113
WSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik—111011113J. Oracz—912991
WSep 4 · 22:50C. Pawlik—1161114113J. Oracz—91191662
LSep 4 · 15:10C. Pawlik—128881J. Oracz—101111113
WAug 22 · 02:00C. Pawlik—11511113J. Oracz—711381
WAug 21 · 16:25C. Pawlik—111112123J. Oracz—81310101
LAug 15 · 24:45C. Pawlik—811991J. Oracz—11811113
WAug 14 · 18:45C. Pawlik—11117133J. Oracz—9911111
WAug 8 · 02:00C. Pawlik—16115113J. Oracz—1481191
LAug 7 · 16:25C. Pawlik—51112682J. Oracz—1191011113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.461111113A. Krezel2.474940
J. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113WSep 5 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk2.005760J. Oracz1.661111113WSep 5 · 17:35A. Krezel2.6097111172J. Oracz1.41111129113WSep 5 · 16:50A. Fomin2.706570J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 5 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.83111011113J. Oracz1.83912991
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Sep 11 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.25M. Natkaniec3.30—Sep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.34D. Pyrek2.85—Sep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.60O. Jedrzejowski2.10—Sep 11 · 22:00C. Pawlik1.24M. Natkaniec3.40—Sep 11 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.49M. Wozniczka2.33—Sep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.60O. Jedrzejowski2.10—Sep 12 · 01:10C. Pawlik1.32D. Pyrek2.95—Sep 12 · 02:00C. Pawlik1.97J. Oracz1.69—
J. Oracz
Sep 11 · 17:35J. Oracz1.41M. Wozniczka2.60—Sep 11 · 18:45J. Oracz1.21M. Natkaniec3.70—Sep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27D. Pyrek3.20—Sep 11 · 21:35J. Oracz1.49O. Jedrzejowski2.34—Sep 11 · 22:25J. Oracz1.25D. Pyrek3.35—Sep 11 · 23:35J. Oracz1.39M. Wozniczka2.60—Sep 12 · 24:45J. Oracz1.21M. Natkaniec3.70—Sep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.69C. Pawlik1.97—
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