TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114362
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
2.18
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111171012––
Marcin Wozniczka
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:26 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMarcin Wozniczka to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111171012––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 3–5 Marcin Wozniczka Dawid Pyrek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Pyrek beat Wozniczka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Wozniczka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Wozniczka
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1360 vs Wozniczka 1480
Wozniczka
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 60% vs Wozniczka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 50% vs Wozniczka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -2 · Wozniczka +3
Wozniczka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Wozniczka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 2.18 / Wozniczka 1.56
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Wozniczka)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114362
Pyrek2.18
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Wozniczka1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 40 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePyrek3wins
AwayWozniczka5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderWozniczka leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek66.7%2 of 3
AwayWozniczka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek3Wozniczka5n = 8Wozniczka took 5 of 8
S2Pyrek4Wozniczka4n = 8split evenly
S3Pyrek3Wozniczka5n = 8Wozniczka took 5 of 8
S4Pyrek5Wozniczka1n = 6Pyrek took 5 of 6
S5Pyrek1Wozniczka3n = 4Wozniczka took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPyrekWozniczkaP − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.038.6+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekWozniczkaBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 770 vs 198 / 34549.6%57.4%382 / 770 vs 198 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WozniczkaPyrek 2.18/Wozniczka 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Wozniczka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wozniczka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek—611511113M. Wozniczka—11311862
WAug 22 · 02:20D. Pyrek—1111113M. Wozniczka—8770
LAug 21 · 20:20D. Pyrek—101191182M. Wozniczka—129119113
LJul 11 · 02:20D. Pyrek—121161172M. Wozniczka—146116113
WJul 10 · 20:20D. Pyrek—11711113M. Wozniczka—511771
LOct 4 · 02:45D. Pyrek—71050M. Wozniczka—1112113
LOct 3 · 18:25D. Pyrek—11971182M. Wozniczka—711114113
LAug 8 · 18:00D. Pyrek—651191M. Wozniczka—11117113
D. Pyrek10
LSep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27111012113D. Pyrek3.206121071LSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862WSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113
M. Wozniczka10
WSep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.4511610101M. Wozniczka1.4471112123WSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133WSep 11 · 17:35J. Oracz1.41118881M. Wozniczka2.6041111113LSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862LSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482LAug 29 · 02:20M. Wozniczka2.486940J. Oracz1.461111113LAug 29 · 24:45M. Krutak1.901111123M. Wozniczka1.8096100WAug 29 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.90911111262M. Wozniczka1.351141310113LAug 28 · 23:10M. Wozniczka1.40911111092M. Wolny2.75117312113WAug 28 · 22:00M. Wozniczka2.3711411143O. Jedrzejowski1.528117121
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