TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113616
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
2.43
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189117111181210
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Pyrek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1189117111181210
H2H Dawid Pyrek 3–3 Oskar Jedrzejowski Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1369 vs Jedrzejowski 1375
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 60% vs Jedrzejowski 20%
Pyrek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 50% vs Jedrzejowski 30%
Pyrek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek +3 · Jedrzejowski +1
Pyrek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 2.43 / Jedrzejowski 1.45
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113616
Pyrek2.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Jedrzejowski1.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePyrek3wins
AwayJedrzejowski3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJedrzejowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek2Jedrzejowski4n = 6Jedrzejowski took 4 of 6
S2Pyrek3Jedrzejowski3n = 6split evenly
S3Pyrek4Jedrzejowski2n = 6Pyrek took 4 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiP − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match29.533.5−4.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 767 vs 118 / 21149.7%55.9%381 / 767 vs 118 / 211Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiPyrek 2.43/Jedrzejowski 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.6%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 21 · 23:10D. Pyrek—8220O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
LAug 21 · 17:10D. Pyrek—313111182O. Jedrzejowski—111587113
WJun 5 · 04:20D. Pyrek—1111113O. Jedrzejowski—9650
LJun 4 · 18:45D. Pyrek—4620O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
WMay 16 · 24:45D. Pyrek—61212113O. Jedrzejowski—11101081
WMay 15 · 18:45D. Pyrek—1111113O. Jedrzejowski—7890
D. Pyrek10
LSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862WSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113WSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113LSep 4 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.531211113D. Pyrek2.3810430
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133WSep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.70146761O. Jedrzejowski1.40121111113LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113
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