TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113294
Played Sep 11Finished
Michal Natkaniec
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412611711611––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Natkaniec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1412611711611––
H2H Michal Natkaniec 3–3 Oskar Jedrzejowski Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:42What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jedrzejowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Natkaniec 1304 vs Jedrzejowski 1370
Jedrzejowski
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Natkaniec 20% vs Jedrzejowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Natkaniec 40% vs Jedrzejowski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Natkaniec -2 · Jedrzejowski -4
Jedrzejowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNatkaniec 2.70 / Jedrzejowski 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113294
Natkaniec2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 35 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Jedrzejowski1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNatkaniec3wins
AwayJedrzejowski3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNatkaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJedrzejowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Natkaniec2Jedrzejowski4n = 6Jedrzejowski took 4 of 6
S2Natkaniec2Jedrzejowski4n = 6Jedrzejowski took 4 of 6
S3Natkaniec2Jedrzejowski4n = 6Jedrzejowski took 4 of 6
S4Natkaniec1Jedrzejowski3n = 4Jedrzejowski took 3 of 4
S5Natkaniec3Jedrzejowski0n = 3Natkaniec took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricNatkaniecJedrzejowskiN − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.840.3−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNatkaniecJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 379 vs 117 / 20934%56%129 / 379 vs 117 / 209Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiNatkaniec 2.70/Jedrzejowski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 01:10M. Natkaniec—731312113O. Jedrzejowski—1111111072
WAug 28 · 19:10M. Natkaniec—115118113O. Jedrzejowski—81151162
LJul 4 · 02:20M. Natkaniec—411681O. Jedrzejowski—11711113
WJul 3 · 20:20M. Natkaniec—111178113O. Jedrzejowski—87111172
LApr 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec—68100O. Jedrzejowski—1111123
LApr 18 · 20:20M. Natkaniec—5980O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
M. Natkaniec10
LSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133LAug 29 · 02:45M. Natkaniec2.463890M. Wolny1.461111113WAug 29 · 01:10M. Natkaniec3.30731312113O. Jedrzejowski1.271111111072LAug 29 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.90911111262M. Wozniczka1.351141310113LAug 28 · 22:25M. Natkaniec2.7591111982M. Krutak1.40115911113LAug 28 · 21:10M. Natkaniec4.954730J. Oracz1.101111113WAug 28 · 20:00M. Krutak1.78771291M. Natkaniec1.91111110113WAug 28 · 19:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3581151162M. Natkaniec2.90115118113WAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec2.90111111113M. Wolny1.35139791LAug 28 · 16:50M. Natkaniec5.65125100J. Oracz1.091411123
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171LSep 5 · 19:40D. Maszczynski5.501111113O. Jedrzejowski1.137590WSep 5 · 18:55T. Kocik1.61981191O. Jedrzejowski2.2011118113LAug 29 · 01:10M. Natkaniec3.30731312113O. Jedrzejowski1.271111111072LAug 28 · 19:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3581151162M. Natkaniec2.90115118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Natkaniec
Sep 11 · 18:00M. Natkaniec3.30C. Pawlik1.25—Sep 11 · 18:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—Sep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40C. Pawlik1.24—Sep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.85O. Jedrzejowski1.34—Sep 12 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.03D. Pyrek1.65—Sep 12 · 24:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 12 · 02:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—
O. Jedrzejowski
Sep 11 · 18:25O. Jedrzejowski1.45D. Pyrek2.43—Sep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69M. Wozniczka1.96—Sep 11 · 20:45O. Jedrzejowski2.10C. Pawlik1.60—Sep 11 · 21:35O. Jedrzejowski2.34J. Oracz1.49—Sep 11 · 23:10O. Jedrzejowski1.34M. Natkaniec2.85—Sep 12 · 24:25O. Jedrzejowski2.10C. Pawlik1.60—Sep 12 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69M. Wozniczka1.96—Sep 12 · 02:45O. Jedrzejowski1.45D. Pyrek2.43—
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