TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13039433
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Natkaniec
Home
2.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811911––––
Michal Wolny
Away
1.46
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:00 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Wolny to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
311811911––––
H2H Michal Natkaniec 5–13 Michal Wolny Michal Natkaniec has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Wolny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Wolny
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Natkaniec 1327 vs Wolny 1386
Wolny
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Natkaniec 40% vs Wolny 60%
Wolny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Natkaniec 40% vs Wolny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Natkaniec +1 · Wolny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Wolny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNatkaniec 2.46 / Wolny 1.46
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Wolny)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13039433
Natkaniec2.46
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 33 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Wolny1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 57 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNatkaniec5wins
AwayWolny5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNatkaniec75%3 of 4
AwayWolny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Natkaniec4Wolny5n = 9Wolny took 5 of 9
S2Natkaniec5Wolny4n = 9Natkaniec took 5 of 9
S3Natkaniec6Wolny3n = 9Natkaniec took 6 of 9
S4Natkaniec3Wolny4n = 7Wolny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNatkaniecWolnyN − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.238.9+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNatkaniecWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 387 vs 270 / 56434.1%47.9%132 / 387 vs 270 / 564Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnyNatkaniec 2.46/Wolny 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wolny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec—111111113M. Wolny—139791
WJul 24 · 17:10M. Natkaniec—111411113M. Wolny—816981
WApr 25 · 01:10M. Natkaniec—11711113M. Wolny—311781
LApr 24 · 19:10M. Natkaniec—7111110102M. Wolny—118712123
LJan 17 · 24:35M. Natkaniec—6580M. Wolny—1111113
WJan 16 · 18:35M. Natkaniec—1111113M. Wolny—9970
LJan 3 · 01:45M. Natkaniec—8111051M. Wolny—11612113
LJan 2 · 19:45M. Natkaniec—711111192M. Wolny—115813113
LDec 5 · 23:00M. Natkaniec—1371171M. Wolny—111113113
M. Natkaniec10
LSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133WAug 29 · 01:10M. Natkaniec3.30731312113O. Jedrzejowski1.271111111072LAug 29 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.90911111262M. Wozniczka1.351141310113LAug 28 · 22:25M. Natkaniec2.7591111982M. Krutak1.40115911113LAug 28 · 21:10M. Natkaniec4.954730J. Oracz1.101111113WAug 28 · 20:00M. Krutak1.78771291M. Natkaniec1.91111110113WAug 28 · 19:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3581151162M. Natkaniec2.90115118113WAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec2.90111111113M. Wolny1.35139791LAug 28 · 16:50M. Natkaniec5.65125100J. Oracz1.091411123LAug 28 · 16:00M. Wozniczka1.4311511113M. Natkaniec2.55911481
M. Wolny10
LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113WSep 4 · 02:45M. Wolny1.64711117113A. Staniczek2.1411381112LSep 4 · 01:10M. Wolny1.831011411122J. Skorupa1.87129111143LAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec2.90111111113M. Wolny1.35139791
Upcoming Matches
M. Natkaniec
Sep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.85O. Jedrzejowski1.34—Sep 11 · 18:00M. Natkaniec3.30C. Pawlik1.25—Sep 11 · 18:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—Sep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40C. Pawlik1.24—Sep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.85O. Jedrzejowski1.34—Sep 12 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.03D. Pyrek1.65—Sep 12 · 24:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 12 · 02:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—
M. Wolny1 of 1 neutral
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