TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13037883
Played Aug 28Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.78
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111210911––
Michal Natkaniec
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Krutak to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
7117111210911––
H2H Michal Krutak 4–0 Michal Natkaniec Michal Natkaniec has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Krutak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Krutak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1451 vs Natkaniec 1315
Krutak
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 40% vs Natkaniec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 50% vs Natkaniec 30%
Krutak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak -2 · Natkaniec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Natkaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.78 / Natkaniec 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krutak)+2.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13037883
Krutak1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 115 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it80% 69 of 86
Natkaniec1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest11%takes the first set · 1 of 9
As underdog31% won 33 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrutak4wins
AwayNatkaniec0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKrutak leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak100%3 of 3
AwayNatkaniecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak3Natkaniec1n = 4Krutak took 3 of 4
S2Krutak3Natkaniec1n = 4Krutak took 3 of 4
S3Krutak4Natkaniec0n = 4Krutak took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKrutakNatkaniecK − NBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.033.8+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakNatkaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 312 vs 130 / 38260.3%34%188 / 312 vs 130 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match40.033.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKrutak 1.78/Natkaniec 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Natkaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 25 · 24:00M. Krutak—114118113M. Natkaniec—91171162
WJul 24 · 16:00M. Krutak—91111113M. Natkaniec—118971
WJul 3 · 23:10M. Krutak—1114153M. Natkaniec—912130
WJul 3 · 17:10M. Krutak—1111113M. Natkaniec—9670
M. Krutak10
LSep 8 · 01:30M. Krutak1.836850J. Skorupa1.831111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.501111113H. Tkaczyk1.504580WSep 7 · 21:45M. Krutak1.7311179113A. Kubiak2.009151151WSep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.8311811113J. Skorupa1.83511381WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123
M. Natkaniec10
LSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133LAug 29 · 02:45M. Natkaniec2.463890M. Wolny1.461111113WAug 29 · 01:10M. Natkaniec3.30731312113O. Jedrzejowski1.271111111072LAug 29 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.90911111262M. Wozniczka1.351141310113LAug 28 · 22:25M. Natkaniec2.7591111982M. Krutak1.40115911113LAug 28 · 21:10M. Natkaniec4.954730J. Oracz1.101111113WAug 28 · 19:10O. Jedrzejowski1.3581151162M. Natkaniec2.90115118113WAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec2.90111111113M. Wolny1.35139791LAug 28 · 16:50M. Natkaniec5.65125100J. Oracz1.091411123LAug 28 · 16:00M. Wozniczka1.4311511113M. Natkaniec2.55911481
Upcoming Matches
M. Krutak
Nothing scheduled
M. Natkaniec
Sep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.85O. Jedrzejowski1.34—Sep 11 · 18:00M. Natkaniec3.30C. Pawlik1.25—Sep 11 · 18:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—Sep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40C. Pawlik1.24—Sep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.85O. Jedrzejowski1.34—Sep 12 · 24:00M. Natkaniec2.03D. Pyrek1.65—Sep 12 · 24:45M. Natkaniec3.70J. Oracz1.21—Sep 12 · 02:20M. Natkaniec2.45M. Wozniczka1.44—
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