TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114375
Played Sep 11Finished
Jacek Oracz
Home
1.27
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11610121210117––
Dawid Pyrek
Away
3.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
11610121210117––
H2H Jacek Oracz 25–7 Dawid Pyrek Dawid Pyrek has won 7 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-7 in 32
Oracz
Correct
gap of 18 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1588 vs Pyrek 1375
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Pyrek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 70% vs Pyrek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +1 · Pyrek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.27 / Pyrek 3.20
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114375
Oracz1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 297 of 418
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 241 of 276
Pyrek3.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz8wins
AwayPyrek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz87.5%7 of 8
AwayPyrekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz8Pyrek2n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Oracz7Pyrek3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Oracz7Pyrek3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S4Oracz4Pyrek2n = 6Oracz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczPyrekO − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.629.6+9.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 906 vs 382 / 76972%49.7%652 / 906 vs 382 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.27/Pyrek 3.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:10J. Oracz—111111113D. Pyrek—741381
WSep 4 · 16:50J. Oracz—118114113D. Pyrek—51181122
WAug 21 · 22:00J. Oracz—11116133D. Pyrek—5711111
LAug 21 · 18:00J. Oracz—1191061D. Pyrek—81112113
WAug 7 · 22:00J. Oracz—1111113D. Pyrek—8740
WAug 7 · 18:00J. Oracz—1111133D. Pyrek—69110
WJul 10 · 22:50J. Oracz—1211113D. Pyrek—10640
WJul 10 · 15:10J. Oracz—61111113D. Pyrek—117511
LMay 15 · 22:00J. Oracz—69111192D. Pyrek—111155113
WMay 15 · 18:00J. Oracz—1111113D. Pyrek—6580
J. Oracz10
WSep 11 · 18:45J. Oracz1.211111113M. Natkaniec3.707650LSep 11 · 17:35J. Oracz1.41118881M. Wozniczka2.6041111113WSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0478111282J. Oracz1.641111410113WSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113
D. Pyrek10
LSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862WSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.45116981C. Pawlik1.2581111113LSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:10D. Pyrek3.60741381J. Oracz1.23111111113WSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113
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