TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114366
Played Sep 11Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111199111113––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
9111199111113––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 9–9 Oskar Jedrzejowski Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Pawlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1586 vs Jedrzejowski 1355
Pawlik
Wrong
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 80% vs Jedrzejowski 20%
Pawlik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 60% vs Jedrzejowski 20%
Pawlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +2 · Jedrzejowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.60 / Jedrzejowski 2.10
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Pawlik)+3.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114366
Pawlik1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 120 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 94 of 116
Jedrzejowski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 31 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik6wins
AwayJedrzejowski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%5 of 5
AwayJedrzejowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik5Jedrzejowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Pawlik3Jedrzejowski7n = 10Jedrzejowski took 7 of 10
S3Pawlik6Jedrzejowski4n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S4Pawlik4Jedrzejowski3n = 7Pawlik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikJedrzejowskiP − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.4+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 480 vs 118 / 21358.5%55.4%281 / 480 vs 118 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.60/Jedrzejowski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.6%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 21:35C. Pawlik—13817123O. Jedrzejowski—111115101
LAug 21 · 15:35C. Pawlik—1071191O. Jedrzejowski—12117113
LAug 14 · 23:35C. Pawlik—511851O. Jedrzejowski—11611113
WAug 14 · 17:35C. Pawlik—11511113O. Jedrzejowski—511961
WAug 1 · 24:25C. Pawlik—11611113O. Jedrzejowski—211681
WJul 31 · 20:45C. Pawlik—1312911113O. Jedrzejowski—151011872
WJul 17 · 22:50C. Pawlik—1511143O. Jedrzejowski—136120
LJul 17 · 15:10C. Pawlik—117110O. Jedrzejowski—1311133
WJul 4 · 22:50C. Pawlik—1191110113O. Jedrzejowski—91181272
LJul 4 · 15:10C. Pawlik—6850O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.2511142123M. Natkaniec3.3061211101LSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0478111282J. Oracz1.641111410113WSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482WSep 6 · 02:00A. Krezel2.754611131C. Pawlik1.3711117153LSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182LSep 6 · 24:25C. Pawlik2.201481171H. Tkaczyk1.6016117113LSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113WSep 5 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.94911119113H. Tkaczyk1.7411631152
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 11 · 21:35J. Oracz1.494111081O. Jedrzejowski2.3411912113LSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133LSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.70146761O. Jedrzejowski1.40121111113LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171
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