TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114357
Played Sep 11Finished
Jacek Oracz
Home
1.49
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111191012811––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
2.34
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeJacek Oracz to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
4111191012811––
H2H Jacek Oracz 22–11 Oskar Jedrzejowski Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 11 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Oracz beat Jedrzejowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-11 in 33
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 11 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1594 vs Jedrzejowski 1374
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 70% vs Jedrzejowski 30%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +2 · Jedrzejowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.49 / Jedrzejowski 2.34
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Oracz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114357
Oracz1.49
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 297 of 418
Up 2–0, closes it98% 186 of 189
Up 1–0, closes it87% 241 of 276
Jedrzejowski2.34
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 31 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz6wins
AwayJedrzejowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz75%3 of 4
AwayJedrzejowski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz4Jedrzejowski6n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S2Oracz6Jedrzejowski4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Oracz6Jedrzejowski4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Oracz7Jedrzejowski3n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S5Oracz1Jedrzejowski2n = 3Jedrzejowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczJedrzejowskiO − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.8+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 907 vs 119 / 21472%55.6%653 / 907 vs 119 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.49/Jedrzejowski 2.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz—91111113O. Jedrzejowski—115791
LAug 28 · 22:50J. Oracz—791171O. Jedrzejowski—11118113
LAug 28 · 15:10J. Oracz—11914382O. Jedrzejowski—7111211113
WAug 23 · 24:25J. Oracz—11115123O. Jedrzejowski—7911101
LAug 22 · 20:45J. Oracz—61161462O. Jedrzejowski—1191112113
WAug 22 · 24:25J. Oracz—51111113O. Jedrzejowski—116871
WAug 21 · 20:45J. Oracz—1141011113O. Jedrzejowski—81112482
WAug 15 · 02:20J. Oracz—12117113O. Jedrzejowski—1061181
LAug 14 · 20:20J. Oracz—8913101O. Jedrzejowski—111111123
WAug 1 · 01:35J. Oracz—31114133O. Jedrzejowski—11312111
J. Oracz10
WSep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27111012113D. Pyrek3.206121071WSep 11 · 18:45J. Oracz1.211111113M. Natkaniec3.707650LSep 11 · 17:35J. Oracz1.41118881M. Wozniczka2.6041111113WSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0478111282J. Oracz1.641111410113WSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791WSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113LSep 6 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk2.3512811113J. Oracz1.531011471LSep 5 · 23:35A. Krezel2.65111110113J. Oracz1.40651291WSep 5 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.807590J. Oracz1.851111113WSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133LSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133LSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.70146761O. Jedrzejowski1.40121111113LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:00O. Jedrzejowski2.38114491T. Kocik1.5321111113LSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113LSep 5 · 22:10O. Jedrzejowski1.171151071D. Maszczynski4.5081112113WSep 5 · 21:00O. Jedrzejowski1.6711124113G. Mucha2.103101171
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