TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118608
Played Sep 12Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115118––––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1311115118––––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 9–11 Oskar Jedrzejowski Cezary Pawlik has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:03What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1559 vs Jedrzejowski 1395
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 60% vs Jedrzejowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 60% vs Jedrzejowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -1 · Jedrzejowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.70 / Jedrzejowski 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Pawlik)+3.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13118608
Pawlik1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 126 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 99 of 122
Jedrzejowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 34 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik5wins
AwayJedrzejowski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik80%4 of 5
AwayJedrzejowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik5Jedrzejowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Pawlik4Jedrzejowski6n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik5Jedrzejowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Pawlik4Jedrzejowski4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikJedrzejowskiP − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.1+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 486 vs 122 / 21958.4%55.7%284 / 486 vs 122 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.70/Jedrzejowski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik401191371O. Jedrzejowski4361115113
LSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik409119111O. Jedrzejowski4411911133
WAug 21 · 21:35C. Pawlik5013817123O. Jedrzejowski47111115101
LAug 21 · 15:35C. Pawlik371071191O. Jedrzejowski4112117113
LAug 14 · 23:35C. Pawlik29511851O. Jedrzejowski3911611113
WAug 14 · 17:35C. Pawlik3811511113O. Jedrzejowski31511961
WAug 1 · 24:25C. Pawlik3911611113O. Jedrzejowski27211681
WJul 31 · 20:45C. Pawlik561312911113O. Jedrzejowski51151011872
WJul 17 · 22:50C. Pawlik401511143O. Jedrzejowski31136120
LJul 17 · 15:10C. Pawlik29117110O. Jedrzejowski371311133
C. Pawlik10
LSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282WSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113WSep 11 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Wozniczka2.333530WSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113LSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133WSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.2511142123M. Natkaniec3.3061211101LSep 11 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0478111282J. Oracz1.641111410113WSep 11 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.49791111113M. Wozniczka2.3311119482
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281WSep 12 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.691111113M. Wozniczka1.966670WSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113LSep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.751111113O. Jedrzejowski1.374470WSep 11 · 21:35J. Oracz1.494111081O. Jedrzejowski2.3411912113WSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133LSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133LSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.70146761O. Jedrzejowski1.40121111113LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Sep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.44K. Malcher2.62—Sep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66A. Zmijewski2.01—Sep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.36M. Wolny2.75—Sep 12 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.62A. Fomin2.07—Sep 12 · 22:00C. Pawlik1.62A. Zmijewski2.07—Sep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.61O. Jedrzejowski2.10—Sep 13 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.62A. Fomin2.07—Sep 13 · 01:10C. Pawlik1.34M. Wolny2.85—Sep 13 · 02:00C. Pawlik1.24K. Malcher3.40—
O. Jedrzejowski
Sep 12 · 16:50O. Jedrzejowski1.48M. Wolny2.35—Sep 12 · 17:35O. Jedrzejowski1.35K. Malcher2.75—Sep 12 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.83A. Fomin1.83—Sep 12 · 20:20O. Jedrzejowski1.90A. Zmijewski1.80—Sep 12 · 21:10O. Jedrzejowski1.48M. Wolny2.35—Sep 12 · 22:50O. Jedrzejowski2.10C. Pawlik1.61—Sep 12 · 23:35O. Jedrzejowski1.36K. Malcher2.75—Sep 13 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.82A. Fomin1.82—Sep 13 · 02:20O. Jedrzejowski1.87A. Zmijewski1.77—
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