TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115894
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Pyrek
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111412118––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Pyrek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1178111412118––
H2H Dawid Pyrek 4–3 Oskar Jedrzejowski Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Pyrek beat Jedrzejowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:19What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pyrek 1347 vs Jedrzejowski 1410
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pyrek 20% vs Jedrzejowski 80%
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pyrek 50% vs Jedrzejowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pyrek -2 · Jedrzejowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPyrek 2.35 / Jedrzejowski 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13115894
Pyrek2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 63 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Jedrzejowski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePyrek4wins
AwayJedrzejowski3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPyrek leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePyrek100%3 of 3
AwayJedrzejowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pyrek3Jedrzejowski4n = 7Jedrzejowski took 4 of 7
S2Pyrek3Jedrzejowski4n = 7Jedrzejowski took 4 of 7
S3Pyrek4Jedrzejowski3n = 7Pyrek took 4 of 7
S4Pyrek3Jedrzejowski0n = 3Pyrek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiP − JBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match32.435.6−3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPyrekJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 774 vs 122 / 21849.5%56%383 / 774 vs 122 / 218Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiPyrek 2.35/Jedrzejowski 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek—119711123O. Jedrzejowski—811118102
LAug 21 · 23:10D. Pyrek—8220O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
LAug 21 · 17:10D. Pyrek—313111182O. Jedrzejowski—111587113
WJun 5 · 04:20D. Pyrek—1111113O. Jedrzejowski—9650
LJun 4 · 18:45D. Pyrek—4620O. Jedrzejowski—1111113
WMay 16 · 24:45D. Pyrek—61212113O. Jedrzejowski—11101081
WMay 15 · 18:45D. Pyrek—1111113O. Jedrzejowski—7890
D. Pyrek10
LSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.901277111M. Natkaniec1.80101111133WSep 11 · 22:25D. Pyrek2.55118119113J. Oracz1.4251161192LSep 11 · 21:10D. Pyrek2.189811101M. Wozniczka1.5611117123LSep 11 · 20:00J. Oracz1.27111012113D. Pyrek3.206121071LSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791WSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 16:50D. Pyrek2.15611511113M. Wozniczka1.6011311862WSep 11 · 16:00M. Natkaniec1.85118711112D. Pyrek1.80511117133WSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 12 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.691111113M. Wozniczka1.966670WSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113LSep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.751111113O. Jedrzejowski1.374470WSep 11 · 21:35J. Oracz1.494111081O. Jedrzejowski2.3411912113WSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133LSep 11 · 19:35O. Jedrzejowski1.69711711112M. Wozniczka1.96115117133LSep 11 · 18:25D. Pyrek2.43119711123O. Jedrzejowski1.45811118102WSep 11 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.70146761O. Jedrzejowski1.40121111113LSep 11 · 15:35J. Oracz1.4991111113O. Jedrzejowski2.34115791LSep 6 · 02:35O. Jedrzejowski1.409760A. Staniczek2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Pyrek
Nothing scheduled
O. Jedrzejowski1 of 1 neutral
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