TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119370
Played Sep 12Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11971113111210––
Andriej Fomin
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
11971113111210––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 9–10 Andriej Fomin Cezary Pawlik has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1540 vs Fomin 1513
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 50% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +1 · Fomin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.62 / Fomin 2.07
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pawlik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119370
Pawlik1.62
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 126 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 99 of 122
Fomin2.07
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 70 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back34% 26 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik4wins
AwayFomin6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%3 of 3
AwayFomin85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S3Pawlik5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Pawlik3Fomin3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikFominP − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.4−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikFominBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 490 vs 524 / 89658.4%58.5%286 / 490 vs 524 / 896Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.62/Fomin 2.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 01:10C. Pawlik4358111182A. Fomin49111188113
WSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik371511113A. Fomin2813690
WAug 29 · 22:25C. Pawlik47131112113A. Fomin391171471
WAug 29 · 20:00C. Pawlik48711811113A. Fomin4211511692
WAug 9 · 24:45C. Pawlik351113113A. Fomin2881190
LAug 8 · 18:45C. Pawlik2691160A. Fomin351113113
LJun 28 · 24:45C. Pawlik396101581A. Fomin47111213113
LJun 27 · 18:45C. Pawlik42101111101A. Fomin4612913123
LJun 21 · 02:20C. Pawlik2468100A. Fomin341111123
LJun 20 · 20:20C. Pawlik33931561A. Fomin46111113113
C. Pawlik10
LSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.361111113M. Wolny2.756140LSep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66811101132A. Zmijewski2.01118127113LSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113WSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282WSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113WSep 11 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Wozniczka2.333530WSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113
A. Fomin10
WSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163WSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572WSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052WSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123WSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113WSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.109101141A. Fomin1.6711126113LSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162
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