TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119100
Played Sep 12Finished
Cezary Pawlik
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116111114––––
Michal Wolny
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeCezary Pawlik to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
116111114––––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 29–5 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 5 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Pawlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-5 in 34
Pawlik
Correct
gap of 24 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1533 vs Wolny 1340
Pawlik
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 40% vs Wolny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 50% vs Wolny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik -2 · Wolny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Pawlik) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.36 / Wolny 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Pawlik)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13119100
Pawlik1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 126 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it92% 73 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it81% 99 of 122
Wolny2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 39 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik9wins
AwayWolny1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%7 of 7
AwayWolny33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik7Wolny3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S2Pawlik10Wolny0n = 10Pawlik took 10 of 10
S3Pawlik7Wolny3n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S4Pawlik4Wolny0n = 4Pawlik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikWolnyP − WBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.427.8+10.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 489 vs 266 / 55958.3%47.6%285 / 489 vs 266 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.36/Wolny 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 21:35C. Pawlik5410111011123M. Wolny48128126102
LAug 7 · 15:35C. Pawlik49811111182M. Wolny49115139113
WAug 1 · 01:10C. Pawlik3811115113M. Wolny32771171
WJul 31 · 19:10C. Pawlik331111113M. Wolny184950
WJul 25 · 24:25C. Pawlik331111113M. Wolny126330
WJul 24 · 20:45C. Pawlik331111113M. Wolny258980
WJul 18 · 01:10C. Pawlik331111113M. Wolny195770
WJul 17 · 19:10C. Pawlik44101112113M. Wolny301261021
WMay 16 · 02:45C. Pawlik341211113M. Wolny2710890
WMay 15 · 18:25C. Pawlik331111113M. Wolny188460
C. Pawlik10
LSep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66811101132A. Zmijewski2.01118127113LSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113WSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:00J. Oracz1.691191110113C. Pawlik1.9771171282WSep 12 · 01:10D. Pyrek2.954370C. Pawlik1.321111113LSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113WSep 11 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Wozniczka2.333530WSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113LSep 11 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.609119111O. Jedrzejowski2.1011911133WSep 11 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.3411911113D. Pyrek2.85911791
M. Wolny10
LSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113WSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113
Upcoming Matches
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