TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119107
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Wolny
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118611311––
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
911118611311––
H2H Michal Wolny 20–11 Andriej Fomin Andriej Fomin has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Wolny
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolny 1348 vs Fomin 1498
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolny 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolny 50% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolny -1 · Fomin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolny 2.25 / Fomin 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Fomin)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13119107
Wolny2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 39 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Fomin1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite72% won 283 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it98% 159 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it89% 221 of 249
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWolny2wins
AwayFomin8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolny50%2 of 4
AwayFomin100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolny4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Wolny5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S3Wolny2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S4Wolny3Fomin4n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWolnyFominW − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.439.0−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolnyFominBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 558 vs 522 / 89447.7%58.4%266 / 558 vs 522 / 894Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominWolny 2.25/Fomin 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:30M. Wolny42101251142A. Fomin531210119113
LAug 3 · 05:10M. Wolny207850A. Fomin331111113
LMay 4 · 07:35M. Wolny361186111A. Fomin4271111133
LApr 27 · 08:20M. Wolny32612771A. Fomin43111011113
LApr 20 · 07:35M. Wolny207490A. Fomin331111113
WApr 13 · 07:35M. Wolny4313811113A. Fomin321111641
LMar 30 · 07:35M. Wolny351311921A. Fomin4115411113
LMar 16 · 08:35M. Wolny549111311102A. Fomin50118154123
WMar 9 · 09:45M. Wolny341111123A. Fomin2248100
LMar 2 · 08:35M. Wolny28119621A. Fomin4181111113
M. Wolny10
LSep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.361111113M. Wolny2.756140LSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113WSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172WSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 4 · 04:20J. Zelezik1.58911126113M. Wolny2.25116101192WSep 4 · 03:30A. Barton4.258170M. Wolny1.191111113
A. Fomin10
WSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572LSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052WSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123WSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113WSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151WSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.109101141A. Fomin1.6711126113LSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162WSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792
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