TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120853
Played Sep 13Finished
Krzysztof Malcher
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911311––––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.32
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Malcher to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
711911311––––
H2H Krzysztof Malcher 1–0 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Malcher beat Zmijewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Malcher 1331 vs Zmijewski 1471
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malcher 60% vs Zmijewski 80%
Zmijewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malcher 50% vs Zmijewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Malcher -1 · Zmijewski +4
Zmijewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalcher 2.90 / Zmijewski 1.32
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Zmijewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120853
Malcher2.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 28 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Zmijewski1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 52 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMalcher1wins
AwayZmijewski0wins
Malcher leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalcherZmijewskiM − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.036.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalcherZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 93 vs 76 / 12837.6%59.4%35 / 93 vs 76 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiMalcher 2.90/Zmijewski 1.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher3711114113A. Zmijewski36971191
K. Malcher10
LSep 13 · 02:00K. Malcher3.407470C. Pawlik1.241111113LSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163WSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113LSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123LAug 30 · 02:10J. Michalik2.001211113K. Malcher1.7310870
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 13 · 24:00M. Wolny2.5059120A. Zmijewski1.461111143WSep 12 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.83111111113A. Fomin1.86581391WSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66811101132A. Zmijewski2.01118127113WSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052LSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.171312123A. Zmijewski1.571110100LSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151
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