TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119981
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Wolny
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119811711––
Krzysztof Malcher
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Malcher to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611119811711––
H2H Michal Wolny 0–2 Krzysztof Malcher Michal Wolny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Malcher beat Wolny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Wolny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wolny 1331 vs Malcher 1332
Malcher
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolny 20% vs Malcher 80%
Malcher
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolny 30% vs Malcher 60%
Malcher
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolny +1 · Malcher -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wolny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolny 1.75 / Malcher 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wolny)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13119981
Wolny1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 59 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Malcher1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 25 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWolny0wins
AwayMalcher2wins
Malcher leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricWolnyMalcherW − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.037.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolnyMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 562 vs 35 / 9247.5%38%267 / 562 vs 35 / 92Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.633.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnyWolny 1.75/Malcher 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Malcher won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny32611871K. Malcher4211911113
LSep 12 · 20:00M. Wolny246990K. Malcher331111113
M. Wolny10
WSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990LSep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.361111113M. Wolny2.756140LSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113WSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:35M. Wolny1.3381111113A. Barton3.10119861LSep 7 · 06:25M. Machelski2.05712711113M. Wolny1.68111011952LSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172
K. Malcher10
LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163WSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113LSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123LAug 30 · 02:10J. Michalik2.001211113K. Malcher1.7310870LAug 30 · 01:25G. Mucha1.36711118123K. Malcher3.00112511102WAug 29 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.5775111192K. Malcher2.25111164113WAug 29 · 22:35J. Slawomir1.8381111662K. Malcher1.83119811113
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