TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13041677
Played Aug 29Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119118611611
Krzysztof Malcher
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Malcher to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJanus Slawomir above · Krzysztof Malcher below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Krzysztof Malcher at 68.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Janus Slawomir 2–1 Krzysztof Malcher Krzysztof Malcher has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Malcher
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1444 vs Malcher 1349
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 100% vs Malcher 20%
Slawomir
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 70% vs Malcher 40%
Slawomir
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +5 · Malcher +1
Slawomir
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slawomir) · live re-read · sealed at 31% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.83 / Malcher 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slawomir)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13041677
Slawomir1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Malcher1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSlawomir2wins
AwayMalcher1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSlawomir leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Malcher2n = 3Malcher took 2 of 3
S2Slawomir2Malcher1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S3Slawomir2Malcher1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSlawomirMalcherS − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 106 vs 28 / 8156.6%34.6%60 / 106 vs 28 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.332.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawomirSlawomir 1.83/Malcher 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slawomir · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Malcher won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 29 · 15:00J. Slawomir—1111113K. Malcher—9790
LJul 18 · 21:00J. Slawomir—111291182K. Malcher—1310119113
WJul 18 · 16:35J. Slawomir—13101211113K. Malcher—151210972
J. Slawomir10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112WSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113LSep 7 · 03:35J. Slawomir1.85111011862M. Wolny1.85512711113LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.8591151292Z. Nocun1.801181110113WSep 2 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.931111113K. Gudzik1.753580WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.90118411113J. Skorupa1.8081111692WSep 2 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.281191151J. Slawomir3.2541113113WSep 2 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.7631111113A. Staniczek1.90114991
K. Malcher10
LAug 30 · 02:10J. Michalik2.001211113K. Malcher1.7310870LAug 30 · 01:25G. Mucha1.36711118123K. Malcher3.00112511102WAug 29 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.5775111192K. Malcher2.25111164113WAug 29 · 21:00J. Oracz1.28115111082K. Malcher3.50811912113LAug 29 · 20:05J. Michalik1.731111113K. Malcher2.004860LAug 29 · 19:20G. Mucha1.30121111113K. Malcher3.40145341LAug 29 · 17:20J. Oracz1.281111113K. Malcher3.503780LAug 29 · 16:35P. Gesiarz1.801211113K. Malcher1.9110840LAug 29 · 15:00J. Slawomir1.831111113K. Malcher1.839790WAug 23 · 02:10D. Pyrek1.8381150K. Malcher1.831113113
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