TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119972
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Malcher
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311211611––––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
44 points played in total.
Set by set
311211611––––
H2H Krzysztof Malcher 1–2 Oskar Jedrzejowski Krzysztof Malcher has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Malcher beat Jedrzejowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:14What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Jedrzejowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malcher 1344 vs Jedrzejowski 1371
Jedrzejowski
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malcher 80% vs Jedrzejowski 20%
Malcher
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malcher 60% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Malcher
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malcher +1 · Jedrzejowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalcher 2.75 / Jedrzejowski 1.36
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Jedrzejowski)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13119972
Malcher2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 25 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Jedrzejowski1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMalcher1wins
AwayJedrzejowski2wins
Jedrzejowski leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malcher1Jedrzejowski2n = 3Jedrzejowski took 2 of 3
S2Malcher1Jedrzejowski2n = 3Jedrzejowski took 2 of 3
S3Malcher0Jedrzejowski3n = 3Jedrzejowski took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricMalcherJedrzejowskiM − JBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match26.033.7−7.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalcherJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 92 vs 124 / 22638%54.9%35 / 92 vs 124 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejowskiMalcher 2.75/Jedrzejowski 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Jedrzejowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher4011117113O. Jedrzejowski35691191
LAug 16 · 01:45K. Malcher195680O. Jedrzejowski331111113
LAug 15 · 16:15K. Malcher194870O. Jedrzejowski331111113
K. Malcher10
WSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113LSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163WSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990WSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.4461211892K. Malcher2.621110911113LSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123LAug 30 · 02:10J. Michalik2.001211113K. Malcher1.7310870LAug 30 · 01:25G. Mucha1.36711118123K. Malcher3.00112511102WAug 29 · 23:20P. Gesiarz1.5775111192K. Malcher2.25111164113
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.6191115372O. Jedrzejowski2.101171311113LSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572LSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113LSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281WSep 12 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.691111113M. Wozniczka1.966670WSep 12 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.651191371O. Jedrzejowski2.0561115113
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