TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120849
Played Sep 13Finished
Artur Zmijewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111517––––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOskar Jedrzejowski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111517––––
H2H Artur Zmijewski 1–0 Oskar Jedrzejowski Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Zmijewski beat Jedrzejowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:51What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Jedrzejowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zmijewski 1480 vs Jedrzejowski 1376
Zmijewski
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmijewski 100% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Zmijewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmijewski 70% vs Jedrzejowski 30%
Zmijewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmijewski +5 · Jedrzejowski -1
Zmijewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmijewski 1.85 / Jedrzejowski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zmijewski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13120849
Zmijewski1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jedrzejowski1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZmijewski1wins
AwayJedrzejowski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZmijewski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZmijewskiJedrzejowskiZ − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.040.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmijewskiJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 129 vs 125 / 22859.7%54.8%77 / 129 vs 125 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiZmijewski 1.85/Jedrzejowski 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jedrzejowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski531112118113O. Jedrzejowski40131021142
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 13 · 24:45K. Malcher2.907930A. Zmijewski1.321111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Wolny2.5059120A. Zmijewski1.461111143WSep 12 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.83111111113A. Fomin1.86581391WSep 12 · 22:00A. Zmijewski2.07611811123C. Pawlik1.62116115102WSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 18:45K. Malcher2.9011114113A. Zmijewski1.32971191WSep 12 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.66811101132A. Zmijewski2.01118127113WSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052LSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123LSep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.171312123A. Zmijewski1.571110100
O. Jedrzejowski10
LSep 13 · 01:35A. Fomin1.83101112113O. Jedrzejowski1.831251091WSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.6191115372O. Jedrzejowski2.101171311113LSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572LSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113LSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281
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