TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120851
Played Sep 13Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121151210119––
Oskar Jedrzejowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
10121151210119––
H2H Andriej Fomin 7–6 Oskar Jedrzejowski Oskar Jedrzejowski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Fomin beat Jedrzejowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jedrzejowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1513 vs Jedrzejowski 1384
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 70% vs Jedrzejowski 40%
Fomin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Jedrzejowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.83 / Jedrzejowski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13120851
Fomin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Jedrzejowski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayJedrzejowski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayJedrzejowski33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Jedrzejowski6n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S2Fomin4Jedrzejowski6n = 10Jedrzejowski took 6 of 10
S3Fomin7Jedrzejowski3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Fomin6Jedrzejowski3n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S5Fomin3Jedrzejowski2n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominJedrzejowskiF − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.543.1+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominJedrzejowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime526 / 900 vs 125 / 22758.4%55.1%526 / 900 vs 125 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.83/Jedrzejowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin49971111113O. Jedrzejowski4211118572
WAug 22 · 23:10A. Fomin3961111113O. Jedrzejowski31118571
LAug 22 · 17:10A. Fomin30641371O. Jedrzejowski44111111113
WJun 4 · 23:50A. Fomin571191113133O. Jedrzejowski491311311112
LJun 4 · 17:55A. Fomin361169101O. Jedrzejowski4391111123
WMay 30 · 22:50A. Fomin48101611113O. Jedrzejowski411214691
LMay 30 · 15:10A. Fomin52131071392O. Jedrzejowski5611121111113
WMay 16 · 21:35A. Fomin511110712113O. Jedrzejowski48812111072
WMay 16 · 15:35A. Fomin442011133O. Jedrzejowski38189110
LApr 18 · 23:35A. Fomin49911111082O. Jedrzejowski39114112113
A. Fomin10
WSep 13 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.6271161182A. Fomin2.07118117113LSep 12 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.83111111113A. Fomin1.86581391WSep 12 · 21:35K. Malcher2.753114141A. Fomin1.4011911163LSep 12 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.6211713123A. Fomin2.0791111101WSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572WSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 17:10A. Zmijewski1.83912912113A. Fomin1.861110111052WSep 12 · 15:35K. Malcher2.801111610102A. Fomin1.34551112123WSep 10 · 02:35A. Barton8.509121141A. Fomin1.0511146113WSep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.9111135113A. Zmijewski1.809111151
O. Jedrzejowski10
WSep 12 · 23:35K. Malcher2.753260O. Jedrzejowski1.361111113WSep 12 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.6191115372O. Jedrzejowski2.101171311113LSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:20A. Zmijewski1.831112118113O. Jedrzejowski1.83131021142LSep 12 · 19:35A. Fomin1.85971111113O. Jedrzejowski1.8511118572LSep 12 · 17:35K. Malcher2.7511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.35691191WSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113LSep 12 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.701311113O. Jedrzejowski2.0011580LSep 12 · 02:45D. Pyrek2.3511814113O. Jedrzejowski1.537111281WSep 12 · 01:35O. Jedrzejowski1.691111113M. Wozniczka1.966670
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