TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124707
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
1.28
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118511911911––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
3.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118511911911––
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 32–17 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 17 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (71%)
Gesiarz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-17 in 49
Gesiarz
Wrong
gap of 15 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1334 vs Maszczynski 1151
Gesiarz
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 60% vs Maszczynski 40%
Gesiarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 40% vs Maszczynski 20%
Gesiarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz +2 · Maszczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gesiarz form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 1.28 / Maszczynski 3.15
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Gesiarz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13124707
Gesiarz1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Maszczynski3.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 65 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz7wins
AwayMaszczynski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz100%6 of 6
AwayMaszczynski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz6Maszczynski4n = 10Gesiarz took 6 of 10
S2Gesiarz5Maszczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Gesiarz3Maszczynski7n = 10Maszczynski took 7 of 10
S4Gesiarz7Maszczynski0n = 7Gesiarz took 7 of 7
S5Gesiarz2Maszczynski1n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiG − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.4+2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 301 vs 93 / 42846.5%21.7%140 / 301 vs 93 / 428Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.233.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzGesiarz 1.28/Maszczynski 3.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz50119612123D. Maszczynski519111110102
WSep 12 · 16:55P. Gesiarz4291111113D. Maszczynski27115381
LSep 6 · 24:35P. Gesiarz48711711122D. Maszczynski48116116143
WSep 5 · 18:30P. Gesiarz331111113D. Maszczynski187560
WAug 31 · 16:10P. Gesiarz4211119113D. Maszczynski32981141
LAug 24 · 16:00P. Gesiarz2595110D. Maszczynski351111133
WAug 17 · 16:00P. Gesiarz3711123113D. Maszczynski367101181
WAug 16 · 02:10P. Gesiarz48119611113D. Maszczynski4281111842
LAug 15 · 20:05P. Gesiarz111550D. Maszczynski331111113
WAug 10 · 16:00P. Gesiarz4211911113D. Maszczynski32611871
P. Gesiarz10
WSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350WSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik1.61117481P. Gesiarz2.0861111113LSep 12 · 23:45G. Mucha1.671111113P. Gesiarz2.109880WSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.44119612123D. Maszczynski2.639111110102LSep 12 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.501491161T. Kocik1.2816118113LSep 12 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.61111016131J. Skorupa2.2071218153LSep 12 · 18:30K. Gudzik1.80512125113P. Gesiarz1.911110101192LSep 12 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28111111113P. Gesiarz3.50713861WSep 12 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.4491111113D. Maszczynski2.63115381
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 14 · 16:50D. Maszczynski4.4010670A. Zmijewski1.151211113LSep 14 · 09:10W. Stechly2.10612178113D. Maszczynski1.601110151162WSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.731111113T. Przebierala1.959540LSep 14 · 05:50D. Maszczynski2.5597120M. Wolny1.461111143LSep 14 · 04:50D. Maszczynski2.9311116732J. Slawomir1.36551111113LSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.004370H. Tkaczyk1.111111113LSep 13 · 02:35G. Mucha1.281111133D. Maszczynski3.5041110LSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.44119612123D. Maszczynski2.639111110102LSep 12 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.4491111113D. Maszczynski2.63115381
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