TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119119
Played Sep 12Finished
Piotr Gesiarz
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115113118––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Gesiarz to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Gesiarz above · Dariusz Maszczynski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Piotr Gesiarz at 67.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gesiarz 30–17 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 17 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gesiarz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-17 in 47
Gesiarz
Correct
gap of 13 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gesiarz 1362 vs Maszczynski 1189
Gesiarz
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gesiarz 40% vs Maszczynski 0%
Gesiarz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gesiarz 50% vs Maszczynski 20%
Gesiarz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gesiarz -3 · Maszczynski -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Gesiarz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGesiarz 1.44 / Maszczynski 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Gesiarz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13119119
Gesiarz1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it79% 59 of 75
Maszczynski2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 66 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGesiarz6wins
AwayMaszczynski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGesiarz100%6 of 6
AwayMaszczynski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gesiarz6Maszczynski4n = 10Gesiarz took 6 of 10
S2Gesiarz4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10
S3Gesiarz4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10
S4Gesiarz7Maszczynski0n = 7Gesiarz took 7 of 7
S5Gesiarz1Maszczynski2n = 3Maszczynski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiG − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.536.7+0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 292 vs 90 / 41346.6%21.8%136 / 292 vs 90 / 413Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.133.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GesiarzGesiarz 1.44/Maszczynski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Gesiarz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gesiarz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 24:35P. Gesiarz48711711122D. Maszczynski48116116143
WSep 5 · 18:30P. Gesiarz331111113D. Maszczynski187560
WAug 31 · 16:10P. Gesiarz4211119113D. Maszczynski32981141
LAug 24 · 16:00P. Gesiarz2595110D. Maszczynski351111133
WAug 17 · 16:00P. Gesiarz3711123113D. Maszczynski367101181
WAug 16 · 02:10P. Gesiarz48119611113D. Maszczynski4281111842
LAug 15 · 20:05P. Gesiarz111550D. Maszczynski331111113
WAug 10 · 16:00P. Gesiarz4211911113D. Maszczynski32611871
LAug 8 · 22:55P. Gesiarz43741111102D. Maszczynski50111179123
WAug 8 · 16:55P. Gesiarz4611914123D. Maszczynski4181112101
P. Gesiarz10
LSep 12 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28111111113P. Gesiarz3.50713861LSep 12 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.0012881142G. Mucha1.731011116113LSep 6 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.91114118112G. Mucha1.80911611133LSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122WSep 5 · 23:45O. Jedrzejowski1.445880P. Gesiarz2.631111113WSep 5 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.301111113A. Staniczek3.407880LSep 5 · 21:45P. Gesiarz3.506690T. Kocik1.281111113LSep 5 · 20:05P. Gesiarz1.8311990G. Mucha1.831311113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113WSep 5 · 17:45T. Kocik1.28119981P. Gesiarz3.5081111113
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik1.331113143D. Maszczynski3.25411120LSep 7 · 20:00M. Karpiuk1.60511118123D. Maszczynski2.15116411102LSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.40511681A. Staniczek1.5011911113LSep 7 · 16:50D. Maszczynski2.605780A. Krezel1.411111113LSep 7 · 16:00J. Slawomir1.261111113D. Maszczynski3.402990LSep 6 · 01:45D. Maszczynski9.004620T. Kocik1.041111113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Maszczynski3.00116116143P. Gesiarz1.36711711122LSep 5 · 23:20D. Maszczynski3.7511881172G. Mucha1.25311119113LSep 5 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.757560P. Gesiarz1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Gesiarz
D. Maszczynski
Sep 12 · 18:10D. Maszczynski3.75G. Mucha1.25—Sep 12 · 19:20D. Maszczynski3.25J. Skorupa1.33—Sep 12 · 20:30D. Maszczynski10.00T. Kocik1.03—Sep 12 · 21:20D. Maszczynski3.75K. Gudzik1.20—Sep 12 · 22:55D. Maszczynski2.75P. Gesiarz1.40—Sep 13 · 24:10D. Maszczynski10.00T. Kocik1.03—Sep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.10J. Skorupa1.29—Sep 13 · 02:35D. Maszczynski3.50G. Mucha1.28—
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