Krystian Gudzik vs Piotr Gesiarz 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119106

Played Sep 12Finished

Krystian Gudzik

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

51112101210511119

Piotr Gesiarz

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Krystian Gudzik to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Piotr Gesiarz below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Krystian Gudzik at 54.5%

96 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:17

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Gudzik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Gudzik 1426 vs Gesiarz 1361

Gudzik

Correct

both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Gudzik 40% vs Gesiarz 20%

Gudzik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Gudzik 60% vs Gesiarz 40%

Gudzik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Gudzik -2 · Gesiarz -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Gesiarz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGudzik 1.80 / Gesiarz 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Gudzik)+2.5pp

TT Elite Series · #13119106

Gudzik1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite67% won 36 of 54

Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32

Gesiarz1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog39% won 50 of 128

Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricGudzikGesiarzBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 103 vs 137 / 29452.4%46.6%54 / 103 vs 137 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Gudzik

Gudzik 1.80/Gesiarz 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Gudzik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Gudzik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

K. Gudzik10