Tomasz Kocik vs Krystian Gudzik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119127

Played Sep 12Finished

Tomasz Kocik

Home

1.29

At publish

Won last 7

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 7

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

12101012115113––

Krystian Gudzik

Away

3.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%

Graded at full time

Tomasz Kocik to win

58.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingTomasz Kocik above · Krystian Gudzik below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 9-3

Point 72 set 4, 9-3 — our read held Tomasz Kocik at 58.3%

72 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:25

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (73%)

Kocik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kocik 1524 vs Gudzik 1435

Kocik

Correct

both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kocik 100% vs Gudzik 80%

Kocik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kocik 80% vs Gudzik 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kocik +5 · Gudzik +2

Kocik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kocik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Gudzik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKocik 1.28 / Gudzik 3.50

Signal prob.76% / 24%

Edge (Kocik)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13119127

Kocik1.28

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 7

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite74% won 46 of 62

Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42

Gudzik3.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 17 of 45

Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKocikGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 89 vs 54 / 10171.9%53.5%64 / 89 vs 54 / 101Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kocik

Kocik 1.28/Gudzik 3.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

75.9%

Kocik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kocik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Kocik10