TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119115
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116114311811911
Jakub Skorupa
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Jakub Skorupa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 85 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Krystian Gudzik at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 4–0 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gudzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Gudzik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1438 vs Skorupa 1390
Gudzik
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 60% vs Skorupa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 70% vs Skorupa 40%
Gudzik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -1 · Skorupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.61 / Skorupa 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Gudzik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119115
Gudzik1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 36 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Skorupa2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 102 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back14% 24 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGudzik4wins
AwaySkorupa0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderGudzik leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzik100%4 of 4
AwaySkorupan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik4Skorupa0n = 4Gudzik took 4 of 4
S2Gudzik1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
S3Gudzik3Skorupa1n = 4Gudzik took 3 of 4
S4Gudzik2Skorupa1n = 3Gudzik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGudzikSkorupaG − SBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match45.537.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 102 vs 305 / 63652.9%48%54 / 102 vs 305 / 636Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikGudzik 1.61/Skorupa 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik4411911133J. Skorupa387119111
WSep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik50136119113J. Skorupa43111161142
WSep 3 · 04:40K. Gudzik331111113J. Skorupa249870
WSep 2 · 22:40K. Gudzik551212911113J. Skorupa45101411552
K. Gudzik10
LSep 12 · 16:15T. Kocik1.28121011113K. Gudzik3.501012531WSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik1.331113143D. Maszczynski3.25411120WSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133LSep 11 · 01:00M. Baran1.831111113K. Gudzik1.836860WSep 11 · 24:10K. Gudzik1.401411113A. Staniczek2.7512990WSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152LSep 10 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.80132126153K. Gudzik1.9111111011132WSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik1.4441111113A. Staniczek2.63118621WSep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik1.91611711113M. Baran1.8011511982WSep 10 · 17:45K. Gudzik1.9111711113Z. Nocun1.80611571
J. Skorupa10
WSep 12 · 16:35G. Mucha1.671141341J. Skorupa2.1071115113LSep 12 · 15:00T. Kocik1.3011611113J. Skorupa3.40711811WSep 10 · 04:20Z. Nocun1.6410870J. Skorupa2.041211113LSep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.8011911133J. Skorupa1.847119111WSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113LSep 10 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.41611411113J. Skorupa2.5511311252WSep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.423930J. Skorupa1.461111113LSep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66111110113J. Skorupa2.05891281LSep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.85136119113J. Skorupa1.85111161142LSep 9 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.811512113J. Skorupa1.83131040
Upcoming Matches
K. Gudzik
J. Skorupa
Sep 12 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.33D. Maszczynski3.25—Sep 12 · 20:05J. Skorupa2.20P. Gesiarz1.61—Sep 12 · 21:00J. Skorupa2.10G. Mucha1.67—Sep 12 · 22:35J. Skorupa4.00T. Kocik1.22—Sep 12 · 23:20J. Skorupa2.20K. Gudzik1.61—Sep 13 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.29D. Maszczynski3.10—Sep 13 · 02:10J. Skorupa2.20P. Gesiarz1.61—
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