TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126823
Played Sep 14Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61112101715811116
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeWitold Stechly to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
61112101715811116
H2H Witold Stechly 6–4 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Maszczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Stechly
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1119 vs Maszczynski 1165
Maszczynski
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 20% vs Maszczynski 40%
Maszczynski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 20% vs Maszczynski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -2 · Maszczynski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Maszczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 2.10 / Maszczynski 1.60
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Maszczynski)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13126823
Stechly2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 48 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 105
Maszczynski1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly6wins
AwayMaszczynski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStechly leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly80%4 of 5
AwayMaszczynski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly5Maszczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Stechly4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10
S3Stechly8Maszczynski2n = 10Stechly took 8 of 10
S4Stechly3Maszczynski4n = 7Maszczynski took 4 of 7
S5Stechly3Maszczynski2n = 5Stechly took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyMaszczynskiS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.0+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 533 vs 93 / 42716.7%21.8%89 / 533 vs 93 / 427Avg sets wonper match1.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.133.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaszczynskiStechly 2.10/Maszczynski 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Maszczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 09:10W. Stechly34118781D. Maszczynski4071111113
WAug 10 · 07:10W. Stechly43311117113D. Maszczynski4411951182
WAug 3 · 05:35W. Stechly4112711113D. Maszczynski311011371
WJul 27 · 07:10W. Stechly47771111113D. Maszczynski4311116782
LJul 20 · 06:45W. Stechly4485111192D. Maszczynski47111177113
WJul 13 · 05:35W. Stechly331111113D. Maszczynski168080
LJun 29 · 04:50W. Stechly2165100D. Maszczynski341111123
LJun 22 · 06:25W. Stechly4781211972D. Maszczynski521110911113
WApr 6 · 07:35W. Stechly48119115123D. Maszczynski48911711102
WNov 10 · 06:35W. Stechly381611113D. Maszczynski2514830
W. Stechly10
LSep 14 · 07:50W. Stechly4.5054100J. Slawomir1.141111123LSep 14 · 06:50W. Stechly1.39111211642T. Kordaszewski2.60614611113WSep 14 · 05:30W. Stechly1.8211119123T. Przebierala1.859811101LSep 14 · 04:10W. Stechly5.709790H. Tkaczyk1.091111113LSep 14 · 03:10W. Stechly3.40112281M. Wolny1.2491111113LSep 11 · 05:05W. Stechly2.907780M. Machelski1.321111113WSep 11 · 03:30W. Stechly4.0551117113J. Michalik1.181191581LSep 11 · 02:20W. Stechly7.102490M. Guzik1.041111113LSep 11 · 24:45W. Stechly4.18911101142H. Tkaczyk1.19116123113LSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113
D. Maszczynski10
WSep 14 · 08:10D. Maszczynski1.291181111113T. Kordaszewski3.1061113742WSep 14 · 07:10D. Maszczynski1.731111113T. Przebierala1.959540LSep 14 · 05:50D. Maszczynski2.5597120M. Wolny1.461111143LSep 14 · 04:50D. Maszczynski2.9311116732J. Slawomir1.36551111113LSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.004370H. Tkaczyk1.111111113LSep 13 · 02:35G. Mucha1.281111133D. Maszczynski3.5041110LSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113LSep 13 · 24:10T. Kocik1.0211117183D. Maszczynski11.009611161LSep 12 · 22:55P. Gesiarz1.44119612123D. Maszczynski2.639111110102WSep 12 · 21:20K. Gudzik1.2781070D. Maszczynski3.501112113
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