TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13124710
Played Sep 14Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119211211811––
Michal Wolny
Away
1.24
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Wolny to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
119211211811––
H2H Witold Stechly 4–40 Michal Wolny Witold Stechly has won 4 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (73%)
Wolny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-40 in 44
Wolny
Correct
gap of 36 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1147 vs Wolny 1296
Wolny
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 20% vs Wolny 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Wolny 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -1 · Wolny -4
Wolny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Wolny) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (20%) is below what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 3.40 / Wolny 1.24
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Wolny)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13124710
Stechly3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog21% won 48 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 105
Wolny1.24
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite66% won 56 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly1wins
AwayWolny9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWolny leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly33.3%1 of 3
AwayWolny100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S2Stechly3Wolny7n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10
S3Stechly4Wolny6n = 10Wolny took 6 of 10
S4Stechly1Wolny6n = 7Wolny took 6 of 7
S5Stechly1Wolny3n = 4Wolny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyWolnyS − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.043.8−6.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 533 vs 267 / 56616.5%47.2%88 / 533 vs 267 / 566Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolnyStechly 3.40/Wolny 1.24
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.6%
Wolny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wolny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly49117119113M. Wolny4281151172
LAug 31 · 03:10W. Stechly33511981M. Wolny4111811113
LAug 10 · 03:10W. Stechly258890M. Wolny331111113
LAug 3 · 08:20W. Stechly361181071M. Wolny4391112113
LJul 29 · 23:55W. Stechly45811111142M. Wolny48117613113
LJul 27 · 03:10W. Stechly5316156792M. Wolny6014131111113
LJul 22 · 23:55W. Stechly135440M. Wolny331111113
LJul 20 · 06:00W. Stechly394171261M. Wolny51111910113
LJul 13 · 03:10W. Stechly2871380M. Wolny371115113
LMay 4 · 08:20W. Stechly49971112102M. Wolny501111610123
W. Stechly10
LSep 11 · 05:05W. Stechly2.907780M. Machelski1.321111113WSep 11 · 03:30W. Stechly4.0551117113J. Michalik1.181191581LSep 11 · 02:20W. Stechly7.102490M. Guzik1.041111113LSep 11 · 24:45W. Stechly4.18911101142H. Tkaczyk1.19116123113LSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113LSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113WSep 10 · 03:00W. Stechly5.0581111113Z. Nocun1.11117591LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113WSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113
M. Wolny10
LSep 13 · 02:45M. Wolny2.056760A. Fomin1.651111113LSep 13 · 01:10M. Wolny2.859890C. Pawlik1.341111113LSep 13 · 24:00M. Wolny2.5059120A. Zmijewski1.461111143LSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113WSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162LSep 12 · 20:00K. Malcher2.101111113M. Wolny1.606990LSep 12 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.361111113M. Wolny2.756140LSep 12 · 18:25M. Wolny2.25911631A. Fomin1.5711811113LSep 12 · 16:50M. Wolny2.353860O. Jedrzejowski1.481111113WSep 12 · 16:00A. Zmijewski1.50711911102M. Wolny2.40115113123
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