TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119989
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012711––––
Dariusz Maszczynski
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Dariusz Maszczynski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Krystian Gudzik at 73.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 1–1 Dariusz Maszczynski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Gudzik beat Maszczynski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Gudzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1384 vs Maszczynski 1200
Gudzik
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 40% vs Maszczynski 0%
Gudzik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Maszczynski 0%
Gudzik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -1 · Maszczynski -5
Maszczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maszczynski form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.27 / Maszczynski 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Gudzik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119989
Gudzik1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 36 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Maszczynski3.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 66 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGudzik1wins
AwayMaszczynski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricGudzikMaszczynskiG − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.530.5+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 106 vs 91 / 41851.9%21.8%55 / 106 vs 91 / 418Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikGudzik 1.27/Maszczynski 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.2%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maszczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 12 · 21:20K. Gudzik2581070D. Maszczynski341112113
WSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik381113143D. Maszczynski27411120
K. Gudzik10
LSep 12 · 22:10G. Mucha2.75911711113K. Gudzik1.4011611932LSep 12 · 19:40K. Gudzik1.4010990G. Mucha2.751211113WSep 12 · 18:30K. Gudzik1.80512125113P. Gesiarz1.911110101192LSep 12 · 17:20K. Gudzik1.6111113892J. Skorupa2.20641111113LSep 12 · 16:15T. Kocik1.28121011113K. Gudzik3.501012531WSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik1.331113143D. Maszczynski3.25411120WSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133LSep 11 · 01:00M. Baran1.831111113K. Gudzik1.836860WSep 11 · 24:10K. Gudzik1.401411113A. Staniczek2.7512990WSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152
D. Maszczynski10
LSep 12 · 20:30T. Kocik1.021112113D. Maszczynski10.5031070LSep 12 · 19:20D. Maszczynski3.25114531J. Skorupa1.3391111113LSep 12 · 18:10G. Mucha1.25121111113D. Maszczynski3.75148971LSep 12 · 16:55P. Gesiarz1.4491111113D. Maszczynski2.63115381LSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik1.331113143D. Maszczynski3.25411120LSep 7 · 20:00M. Karpiuk1.60511118123D. Maszczynski2.15116411102LSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.40511681A. Staniczek1.5011911113LSep 7 · 16:50D. Maszczynski2.605780A. Krezel1.411111113LSep 7 · 16:00J. Slawomir1.261111113D. Maszczynski3.402990
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