TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119096
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Grzegorz Mucha
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Mucha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 4–0 Grzegorz Mucha Grzegorz Mucha has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:14What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gudzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Gudzik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1435 vs Mucha 1400
Gudzik
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 60% vs Mucha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 60% vs Mucha 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik +1 · Mucha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.40 / Mucha 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Gudzik)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13119096
Gudzik1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 36 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Mucha2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGudzik4wins
AwayMucha0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGudzik leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzik100%3 of 3
AwayMuchan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik3Mucha1n = 4Gudzik took 3 of 4
S2Gudzik3Mucha1n = 4Gudzik took 3 of 4
S3Gudzik4Mucha0n = 4Gudzik took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGudzikMuchaG − MBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.231.5+8.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 104 vs 128 / 25652.9%50%55 / 104 vs 128 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikGudzik 1.40/Mucha 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mucha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 12 · 22:55K. Gudzik361213113G. Mucha29101180
WAug 12 · 16:55K. Gudzik391116123G. Mucha31714100
WAug 10 · 02:10K. Gudzik361114113G. Mucha2551280
WAug 9 · 20:05K. Gudzik50891111113G. Mucha4111115772
K. Gudzik10
WSep 12 · 18:30K. Gudzik1.80512125113P. Gesiarz1.911110101192LSep 12 · 17:20K. Gudzik1.6111113892J. Skorupa2.20641111113LSep 12 · 16:15T. Kocik1.28121011113K. Gudzik3.501012531WSep 12 · 15:25K. Gudzik1.331113143D. Maszczynski3.25411120WSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133LSep 11 · 01:00M. Baran1.831111113K. Gudzik1.836860WSep 11 · 24:10K. Gudzik1.401411113A. Staniczek2.7512990WSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152LSep 10 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.80132126153K. Gudzik1.9111111011132WSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik1.4441111113A. Staniczek2.63118621
G. Mucha10
LSep 12 · 18:55T. Kocik1.28111111113G. Mucha3.50851351WSep 12 · 18:10G. Mucha1.25121111113D. Maszczynski3.75148971LSep 12 · 16:35G. Mucha1.671141341J. Skorupa2.1071115113WSep 12 · 15:50P. Gesiarz2.0012881142G. Mucha1.731011116113WSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113WSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113WSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113WSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113
Upcoming Matches
K. Gudzik
G. Mucha
Sep 12 · 21:00G. Mucha1.61J. Skorupa2.20—Sep 12 · 22:10G. Mucha2.75K. Gudzik1.40—Sep 12 · 23:45G. Mucha1.73P. Gesiarz2.00—Sep 13 · 01:00G. Mucha3.75T. Kocik1.25—Sep 13 · 02:35G. Mucha1.30D. Maszczynski3.40—Sep 13 · 15:00G. Mucha—M. Guzik——Sep 13 · 16:35G. Mucha—M. Karpiuk——Sep 13 · 17:20G. Mucha—M. Lewczuk——Sep 13 · 19:20G. Mucha—A. Kubiak——Sep 13 · 20:05G. Mucha—K. Rybak——
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