TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130201
Played Sep 15Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113611511311––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
113611511311––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 52–26 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 26 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Michalik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-26 in 78
Michalik
Wrong
gap of 26 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1412 vs Staniczek 1212
Michalik
Wrong
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Staniczek 20%
Michalik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Staniczek 30%
Michalik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -2 · Staniczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.46 / Staniczek 2.40
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Michalik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13130201
Michalik1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 136 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 127
Staniczek2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 110 of 439
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 280
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 210
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik7wins
AwayStaniczek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik85.7%6 of 7
AwayStaniczek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S2Michalik8Staniczek2n = 10Michalik took 8 of 10
S3Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Michalik2Staniczek3n = 5Staniczek took 3 of 5
S5Michalik1Staniczek2n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikStaniczekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.532.5+6.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1156 vs 364 / 101847.1%35.8%544 / 1156 vs 364 / 1018Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.433.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.46/Staniczek 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.2%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek152670
LAug 28 · 03:05J. Michalik238780A. Staniczek331111113
LAug 27 · 21:05J. Michalik4461213762A. Staniczek5411101111113
LAug 12 · 21:00J. Michalik4411911762A. Staniczek51911911113
WAug 12 · 16:35J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek198470
WAug 7 · 03:55J. Michalik44121110113A. Staniczek371091261
WAug 6 · 21:55J. Michalik531611114113A. Staniczek5418991172
WAug 3 · 21:35J. Michalik45111112113A. Staniczek31841451
WJul 24 · 03:55J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek142840
WJul 23 · 21:55J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek175750
J. Michalik10
LSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik1.76611851M. Brunner1.9611311113LSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 01:55J. Michalik1.92081141M. Baran1.7211118113WSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:55J. Michalik1.621147111M. Karpiuk2.0791111133WSep 15 · 22:20J. Michalik1.851111143P. Gesiarz1.8599120WSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181WSep 15 · 19:55J. Michalik1.9211611113M. Baran1.72611641WSep 15 · 18:45M. Brunner2.0513101481J. Michalik1.66151212113WSep 15 · 17:55J. Michalik1.7181113113M. Karpiuk2.001191181
A. Staniczek10
LSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113LSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 23:10M. Machelski1.73512891A. Staniczek1.92111011113LSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102LSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162WSep 14 · 19:35A. Staniczek3.35111311123A. Zmijewski1.258158101WSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350LSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.5011911113A. Staniczek2.35511691LSep 11 · 02:35M. Baran1.501111113A. Staniczek2.506590
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