TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135206
Played Sep 16Finished
Zbigniew Nocun
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111614118118––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
2.46
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
6111614118118––
H2H Zbigniew Nocun 4–3 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (63%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nocun 1457 vs Krezel 1456
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nocun 80% vs Krezel 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nocun 70% vs Krezel 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nocun +3 · Krezel +2
Nocun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNocun 1.42 / Krezel 2.46
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Nocun)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13135206
Nocun1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 320 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it94% 155 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it86% 232 of 271
Krezel2.46
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 50 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNocun4wins
AwayKrezel3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderNocun leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNocunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrezel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nocun2Krezel5n = 7Krezel took 5 of 7
S2Nocun4Krezel3n = 7Nocun took 4 of 7
S3Nocun2Krezel5n = 7Krezel took 5 of 7
S4Nocun4Krezel1n = 5Nocun took 4 of 5
S5Nocun2Krezel1n = 3Nocun took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricNocunKrezelN − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match40.042.1−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNocunKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime668 / 1117 vs 77 / 23159.8%33.3%668 / 1117 vs 77 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunNocun 1.42/Krezel 2.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 26 · 21:20Z. Nocun56916611143A. Krezel501114112122
WAug 26 · 15:25Z. Nocun4211117133A. Krezel358511111
WAug 20 · 22:35Z. Nocun50111189113A. Krezel4899111182
WAug 20 · 15:00Z. Nocun4241512113A. Krezel4111131071
LAug 20 · 24:45Z. Nocun4485141162A. Krezel531111128113
LAug 13 · 22:10Z. Nocun27107100A. Krezel351211123
LAug 13 · 19:40Z. Nocun195860A. Krezel331111113
Z. Nocun10
WSep 15 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.501111163G. Mucha2.5046140WSep 15 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.10591112102Z. Nocun1.671111910123WSep 14 · 23:30M. Karpiuk2.38119891Z. Nocun1.5381111113LSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.6781111113K. Gudzik2.10118241LSep 14 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.4011116892G. Mucha2.75831111113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.0071240Z. Nocun1.731114113LSep 14 · 17:45K. Gudzik1.9111138113Z. Nocun1.804111151WSep 14 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.91121175133J. Zelezik1.801091111112WSep 14 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.53116118113M. Karpiuk2.3821141162
A. Krezel10
WSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113WSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.7771111113A. Krezel1.87118891WSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 8 · 23:55M. Machelski1.96115118122A. Krezel1.69211711143WSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113WSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181WSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962
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