TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140972
Played Sep 16Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115311911811––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
115311911811––
H2H Janus Slawomir 3–2 Zbigniew Nocun Zbigniew Nocun has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1540 vs Nocun 1466
Slawomir
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 60% vs Nocun 80%
Nocun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 80% vs Nocun 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +2 · Nocun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 2.00 / Nocun 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nocun)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13140972
Slawomir2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 33 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Nocun1.72
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 320 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it94% 155 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it86% 232 of 271
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlawomir3wins
AwayNocun2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSlawomir leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomirn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNocun50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Nocun4n = 5Nocun took 4 of 5
S2Slawomir4Nocun1n = 5Slawomir took 4 of 5
S3Slawomir2Nocun3n = 5Nocun took 3 of 5
S4Slawomir3Nocun1n = 4Slawomir took 3 of 4
S5Slawomir2Nocun1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSlawomirNocunS − NBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match41.239.4+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 145 vs 670 / 112060%59.8%87 / 145 vs 670 / 1120Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunSlawomir 2.00/Nocun 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 21:05J. Slawomir52518711113Z. Nocun47111611632
LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir4691151292Z. Nocun511181110113
WAug 17 · 05:35J. Slawomir331111113Z. Nocun162950
LJul 29 · 21:05J. Slawomir29311871Z. Nocun4211911113
WJul 22 · 21:05J. Slawomir46581111113Z. Nocun4111116672
J. Slawomir10
WSep 16 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.80101111113A. Krezel1.91129461WSep 16 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.1511711113K. Rybak4.35811771WSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113LSep 16 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.445680A. Staniczek2.401111113LSep 14 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.31881181H. Tkaczyk1.5011118113WSep 14 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.68117911113M. Wolny2.0561111982WSep 14 · 07:50W. Stechly4.5054100J. Slawomir1.141111123WSep 14 · 06:10J. Slawomir1.071111123T. Kordaszewski6.5073100WSep 14 · 04:50D. Maszczynski2.9311116732J. Slawomir1.36551111113WSep 14 · 03:50J. Slawomir—1111113T. Przebierala—9430
Z. Nocun10
LSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172WSep 16 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.301111113A. Staniczek3.004540WSep 16 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.4261611113A. Krezel2.461114881WSep 15 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.501111163G. Mucha2.5046140WSep 15 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.10591112102Z. Nocun1.671111910123WSep 14 · 23:30M. Karpiuk2.38119891Z. Nocun1.5381111113LSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.6781111113K. Gudzik2.10118241LSep 14 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.4011116892G. Mucha2.75831111113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.0071240Z. Nocun1.731114113
Upcoming Matches
J. Slawomir
Nothing scheduled
Z. Nocun
Sep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.12K. Rybak4.85—Sep 17 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.11M. Warzecha1.60—Sep 17 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.30A. Staniczek3.00—Sep 17 · 02:20Z. Nocun1.40A. Krezel2.60—Sep 17 · 03:05Z. Nocun1.11W. Stechly5.05—Sep 17 · 04:40Z. Nocun1.12K. Rybak4.85—Sep 17 · 15:50Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 17 · 23:45Z. Nocun—M. Baran——
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