TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140962
Played Sep 16Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.21
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711113611––
Adam Staniczek
Away
3.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
911711113611––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 64–8 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 8 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Warzecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-8 in 72
Warzecha
Wrong
gap of 56 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1509 vs Staniczek 1250
Warzecha
Wrong
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 40% vs Staniczek 60%
Staniczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 70% vs Staniczek 40%
Warzecha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -1 · Staniczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.21 / Staniczek 3.65
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13140962
Warzecha1.21
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 355 of 487
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it89% 263 of 296
Staniczek3.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 113 of 448
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 284
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%6 of 6
AwayStaniczek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha6Staniczek4n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S2Warzecha9Staniczek1n = 10Warzecha took 9 of 10
S3Warzecha9Staniczek1n = 10Warzecha took 9 of 10
S4Warzecha4Staniczek1n = 5Warzecha took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaStaniczekW − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.129.1+10.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime853 / 1204 vs 366 / 100970.9%36.3%853 / 1204 vs 366 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.133.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.21/Staniczek 3.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.4%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha4291111113A. Staniczek30114871
WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha50911118113A. Staniczek4311871162
WSep 10 · 03:20M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek188640
WSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha4891117113A. Staniczek431191581
WSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha341112113A. Staniczek1831050
LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha4669131172A. Staniczek521111118113
WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek206770
WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha3911116113A. Staniczek25811151
WAug 24 · 21:35M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek228950
WAug 24 · 15:35M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek207850
M. Warzecha10
LSep 16 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.3239100A. Krezel2.951111123WSep 16 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.85111166113Z. Nocun1.8087111172LSep 16 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.537720J. Slawomir2.231111113WSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162
A. Staniczek10
WSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 16 · 21:55A. Staniczek1.41119414113K. Rybak2.60911111252LSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570LSep 16 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.301111113A. Staniczek3.004540WSep 16 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.445680A. Staniczek2.401111113WSep 15 · 02:45J. Michalik1.46116531A. Staniczek2.4031111113LSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113LSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 23:10M. Machelski1.73512891A. Staniczek1.92111011113LSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162
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