TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140969
Played Sep 16Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199114111412115
Kazimierz Rybak
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:54 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Staniczek to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1199114111412115
H2H Adam Staniczek 21–6 Kazimierz Rybak Kazimierz Rybak has won 6 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Staniczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-6 in 27
Staniczek
Correct
gap of 15 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1250 vs Rybak 1043
Staniczek
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 40% vs Rybak 0%
Staniczek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 40% vs Rybak 20%
Staniczek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -2 · Rybak -5
Rybak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Staniczek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybak form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 1.41 / Rybak 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Staniczek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13140969
Staniczek1.41
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 89 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it88% 68 of 77
Rybak2.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 53 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back9% 14 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek9wins
AwayRybak1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStaniczek leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek100%6 of 6
AwayRybak25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek6Rybak4n = 10Staniczek took 6 of 10
S2Staniczek7Rybak3n = 10Staniczek took 7 of 10
S3Staniczek10Rybak0n = 10Staniczek took 10 of 10
S4Staniczek3Rybak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekRybakS − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.732.3+8.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekRybakBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 1009 vs 118 / 50636.2%23.3%365 / 1009 vs 118 / 506Avg sets wonper match1.61.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.833.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniczekStaniczek 1.41/Rybak 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Staniczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 23:45A. Staniczek331111113K. Rybak218670
WJul 31 · 02:45A. Staniczek507111110113K. Rybak3811351272
LJul 30 · 23:05A. Staniczek389111171K. Rybak4411139113
WJul 29 · 21:00A. Staniczek361411113K. Rybak2912980
WJul 29 · 16:35A. Staniczek331111113K. Rybak249690
WJul 26 · 21:45A. Staniczek4291111113K. Rybak32118851
WJul 26 · 17:45A. Staniczek50138117113K. Rybak49111171192
WJul 21 · 01:35A. Staniczek351111133K. Rybak2696110
WJul 20 · 19:35A. Staniczek4211911113K. Rybak24611431
WJul 1 · 22:35A. Staniczek48151111113K. Rybak36177751
A. Staniczek10
WSep 16 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751151041A. Staniczek1.3671112113WSep 16 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.21971161A. Staniczek3.6511113113LSep 16 · 20:45A. Krezel1.601111113A. Staniczek2.108570LSep 16 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.301111113A. Staniczek3.004540WSep 16 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.445680A. Staniczek2.401111113WSep 15 · 02:45J. Michalik1.46116531A. Staniczek2.4031111113LSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113LSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 23:10M. Machelski1.73512891A. Staniczek1.92111011113LSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102
K. Rybak10
LSep 16 · 23:30A. Krezel1.262011113K. Rybak3.2518550LSep 16 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.1271111123K. Rybak4.851149101LSep 16 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.1511711113K. Rybak4.35811771LSep 16 · 19:10A. Krezel1.26119911113K. Rybak3.2551111562LSep 16 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.081111113K. Rybak5.653880LSep 16 · 05:05K. Rybak2.27119961M. Karpiuk1.5791111113LSep 16 · 03:30K. Rybak3.45611451M. Brunner1.2311711113WSep 16 · 02:20K. Rybak4.10615711113J. Skorupa1.17111311682LSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:30K. Rybak4.001111681M. Baran1.1871311113
Upcoming Matches
A. Staniczek
K. Rybak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.