TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136315
Played Sep 16Finished
Kazimierz Rybak
Home
3.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117411511––
Marian Brunner
Away
1.23
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Brunner to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
611117411511––
H2H Kazimierz Rybak 2–14 Marian Brunner Kazimierz Rybak has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:41What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (74%)
Brunner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-14 in 16
Brunner
Correct
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybak 1075 vs Brunner 1263
Brunner
Correct
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybak 40% vs Brunner 0%
Rybak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybak 20% vs Brunner 40%
Brunner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybak +1 · Brunner -5
Brunner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brunner form (0%) is below what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybak 3.45 / Brunner 1.23
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Brunner)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13136315
Rybak3.45
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 52 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back8% 13 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Brunner1.23
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 57 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRybak1wins
AwayBrunner9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBrunner leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRybak25%1 of 4
AwayBrunner100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybak4Brunner6n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S2Rybak2Brunner8n = 10Brunner took 8 of 10
S3Rybak4Brunner6n = 10Brunner took 6 of 10
S4Rybak1Brunner6n = 7Brunner took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRybakBrunnerR − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.239.8−8.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybakBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 501 vs 281 / 56823.6%49.5%118 / 501 vs 281 / 568Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrunnerRybak 3.45/Brunner 1.23
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Brunner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brunner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 02:45K. Rybak33691171M. Brunner4211119113
LAug 11 · 23:05K. Rybak23114531M. Brunner4181111113
LJul 1 · 01:10K. Rybak347115111M. Brunner4411911133
LJun 30 · 17:30K. Rybak2681080M. Brunner341112113
LJun 24 · 04:20K. Rybak215970M. Brunner331111113
LJun 23 · 18:45K. Rybak4177111422M. Brunner501111512113
LDec 31 · 24:30K. Rybak4211911111M. Brunner4513118133
LDec 30 · 20:10K. Rybak24113461M. Brunner4291111113
WDec 10 · 02:55K. Rybak331111113M. Brunner239770
LDec 9 · 20:55K. Rybak351151271M. Brunner4481114113
K. Rybak10
WSep 16 · 02:20K. Rybak4.10615711113J. Skorupa1.17111311682LSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:30K. Rybak4.001111681M. Baran1.1871311113LSep 14 · 02:10K. Rybak4.501110851G. Mucha1.1771211113WSep 14 · 24:35M. Lewczuk1.07123981K. Rybak7.50101111113LSep 13 · 23:45M. Karpiuk1.2811811113K. Rybak3.50811771LSep 13 · 22:55K. Rybak6.008750A. Kubiak1.111111113LSep 13 · 21:45K. Rybak7.5011181192M. Guzik1.07118118113LSep 13 · 20:05K. Rybak5.0012111071G. Mucha1.14101312113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.061212183K. Rybak8.001010160
M. Brunner10
WSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik1.76611851M. Brunner1.9611311113WSep 16 · 02:45M. Brunner1.8311311113M. Karpiuk1.81611561LSep 16 · 01:10M. Brunner1.95115661M. Baran1.7581111113LSep 16 · 24:20J. Skorupa1.641111123M. Brunner2.0488100LSep 15 · 23:05M. Brunner1.838650M. Karpiuk1.811111113LSep 15 · 21:30M. Brunner2.106101141P. Gesiarz1.6011128113LSep 15 · 20:20M. Brunner2.056590J. Skorupa1.661111113LSep 15 · 18:45M. Brunner2.0513101481J. Michalik1.66151212113WSep 15 · 17:30M. Brunner2.191112113M. Baran1.5591080WSep 9 · 04:20M. Machelski2.0911811332M. Brunner1.68611311113
Upcoming Matches
K. Rybak
M. Brunner
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