Marian Brunner vs Mateusz Karpiuk 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130045

Played Sep 15Finished

Marian Brunner

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811611511––––

Mateusz Karpiuk

Away

1.81

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%

Graded at full time

Marian Brunner to win

54.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

52 points played in total.

Set by set

811611511––––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:51

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.81 (50%)

Karpiuk

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Brunner 1291 vs Karpiuk 1269

Brunner

Wrong

both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Brunner 40% vs Karpiuk 20%

Brunner

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Brunner 50% vs Karpiuk 20%

Brunner

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Brunner -3 · Karpiuk -1

Brunner

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brunner) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Karpiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrunner 1.83 / Karpiuk 1.81

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Brunner)+4.3pp

TT Elite Series · #13130045

Brunner1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog33% won 45 of 137

Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48

Karpiuk1.81

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite49% won 56 of 114

Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrunnerKarpiukBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 566 vs 125 / 28849.7%43.4%281 / 566 vs 125 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Brunner

Brunner 1.83/Karpiuk 1.81

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Brunner · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Karpiuk won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Brunner10