TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135082
Played Sep 16Finished
Jakub Skorupa
Home
1.64
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181181210––––
Marian Brunner
Away
2.04
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1181181210––––
H2H Jakub Skorupa 19–6 Marian Brunner Marian Brunner has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Skorupa beat Brunner 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Skorupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-6 in 25
Skorupa
Correct
gap of 13 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorupa 1450 vs Brunner 1301
Skorupa
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorupa 60% vs Brunner 40%
Skorupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorupa 60% vs Brunner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorupa +1 · Brunner -3
Brunner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorupa 1.64 / Brunner 2.04
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Skorupa)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13135082
Skorupa1.64
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 148 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 128
Brunner2.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 45 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorupa8wins
AwayBrunner2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkorupa leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorupa100%3 of 3
AwayBrunner28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorupa3Brunner7n = 10Brunner took 7 of 10
S2Skorupa6Brunner4n = 10Skorupa took 6 of 10
S3Skorupa8Brunner2n = 10Skorupa took 8 of 10
S4Skorupa3Brunner3n = 6split evenly
S5Skorupa4Brunner0n = 4Skorupa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorupaBrunnerS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.9+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorupaBrunnerBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 649 vs 281 / 56548.4%49.7%314 / 649 vs 281 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaSkorupa 1.64/Brunner 2.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 20:20J. Skorupa331111113M. Brunner206590
WAug 5 · 04:20J. Skorupa511110118113M. Brunner3941241182
WAug 4 · 18:45J. Skorupa47711117113M. Brunner4611881182
WJul 22 · 04:20J. Skorupa331111113M. Brunner135260
WJul 21 · 18:45J. Skorupa4281111123M. Brunner361178101
WJul 15 · 24:20J. Skorupa48761111133M. Brunner48111187112
LJul 14 · 20:20J. Skorupa279990M. Brunner331111113
WJul 8 · 02:45J. Skorupa44612114113M. Brunner38111041122
WJul 7 · 23:05J. Skorupa3741111113M. Brunner33116791
LJul 1 · 03:30J. Skorupa136610M. Brunner331111113
J. Skorupa10
LSep 16 · 01:30J. Skorupa1.7111127682M. Karpiuk2.009101111113WSep 15 · 22:40J. Skorupa1.87111112133M. Baran1.8313510111LSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181WSep 15 · 20:20M. Brunner2.056590J. Skorupa1.661111113WSep 15 · 19:30J. Skorupa1.62911912113M. Karpiuk2.06117111082LSep 15 · 18:20J. Skorupa1.868360P. Gesiarz1.831111113LSep 13 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.831111113J. Skorupa1.838690WSep 13 · 01:25D. Maszczynski3.40111060J. Skorupa1.301312113WSep 12 · 23:20K. Gudzik1.6161260J. Skorupa2.201114113LSep 12 · 22:35T. Kocik1.221111113J. Skorupa4.004680
M. Brunner10
LSep 16 · 01:10M. Brunner1.95115661M. Baran1.7581111113LSep 15 · 23:05M. Brunner1.838650M. Karpiuk1.811111113LSep 15 · 21:30M. Brunner2.106101141P. Gesiarz1.6011128113LSep 15 · 20:20M. Brunner2.056590J. Skorupa1.661111113LSep 15 · 18:45M. Brunner2.0513101481J. Michalik1.66151212113WSep 15 · 17:30M. Brunner2.191112113M. Baran1.5591080WSep 9 · 04:20M. Machelski2.0911811332M. Brunner1.68611311113WSep 9 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.29461131M. Brunner3.1011118113WSep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.7771111113A. Krezel1.87118891WSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.